What markets are included in the Lazio vs AS Roma prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lazio vs AS Roma prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lazio vs AS Roma

Lazio vs AS Roma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-13 18:45

Lazio

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

51%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

AS Roma

Away

Prediction Summary

46%

25%

29%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

54%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Lazio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate79%

AS Roma (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.05

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lazio

LDDWD

AS Roma

WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 79%

53% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

79% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Lazio averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while AS Roma averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

46%

Draw

25%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Lazio(A) 0 - 2 AS Roma Away

Sep 2025 Lazio 0 - 1 AS Roma Away

Apr 2025 Lazio 1 - 1 AS Roma Draw

Jan 2025 Lazio(A) 0 - 2 AS Roma Away

Apr 2024 Lazio(A) 0 - 1 AS Roma Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lazio won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Lazio — unbeaten run (home)0

Lazio — scoring streak (home)0

AS Roma — winless run (away)0

AS Roma — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lazio Win (1)46%

Draw (X)25%

AS Roma Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 79%

53% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 21%

47% -1.5 79%

79% -2.5 100%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Lazio vs AS Roma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lazio — scored (home)1.74

Lazio — conceded (home)1.37

AS Roma — scored (away)1

AS Roma — conceded (away)1.05

Model expected combined goals2.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

Lazio — BTTS matches (home)79%

AS Roma — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lazio (home)

Corners for6.3

Corners against3.7

AS Roma (away)

Corners for4.6

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lazio

6 9 6 6 18

AS Roma

7 11 15 6 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Lazio (home)

For2.4

AS Roma (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Lazio — total shots (home)15.3

AS Roma — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Lazio — on target (home)5.5

AS Roma — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lazio

Inside the box9.05

Outside the box5.05

AS Roma

Inside the box8.82

Outside the box4.92

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target41%

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Isaksen

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target49%

+1.5 On Target16%

Mario Gila

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

A. Marušić

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots AS Roma

P. Dybala

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target25%

A. Dovbyk

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. Shomurodov

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Saelemaekers

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

S. El Shaarawy

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lazio xG (home)1.51

AS Roma xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

55.11% Possession 53.95%

Team Comparison Lazio vs AS Roma

86.16% Pass accuracy 85.29%

468.58 Passes per match 492.47

0.08 Goals prevented -0.13

11.16 Fouls committed 10.66

1.92 Goalkeeper saves 3.11

1.21 Offsides 1.69

13.68 Tackles per match 14.5

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lazio vs AS Roma prediction analysis

Review Lazio vs AS Roma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights