Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt

Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-04-17 19:00
Lazio
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Bodo/Glimt
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
24%
2
21%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Lazio (Home)

Goals scored / match2.17
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate83%

Bodo/Glimt (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lazio
WLDWL
Bodo/Glimt
LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 88%
67% +1.5 25%
50% +2.5 0%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
83% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lazio averages 2.17 goals scored at home, while Bodo/Glimt averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
24%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2025 Lazio 3 - 1 Bodo/Glimt Home
Apr 2025 Lazio(A) 0 - 2 Bodo/Glimt Away

In the last 2 meetings, Lazio won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lazio — unbeaten run (home)6
Lazio — scoring streak (home)3
Bodo/Glimt — winless run (away)6
Bodo/Glimt — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lazio Win (1)55%
Draw (X)24%
Bodo/Glimt Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 88%
67% +1.5 25%
50% +2.5 0%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 12%
33% -1.5 75%
50% -2.5 100%
83% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lazio — scored (home)2.17
Lazio — conceded (home)0.83
Bodo/Glimt — scored (away)1.13
Bodo/Glimt — conceded (away)1.88
Model expected combined goals2.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Lazio — BTTS matches (home)83%
Bodo/Glimt — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)85.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.573%
Under 6.527%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.573%
Under 8.527%
Over 9.565%
Under 9.535%
Over 10.557%
Under 10.543%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lazio (home)

Corners for8.2
Corners against3.5

Bodo/Glimt (away)

Corners for2.1
Corners against7.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lazio
11 9 16 5 18
Bodo/Glimt
11 5 18 14 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Lazio (home)

For3.0

Bodo/Glimt (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Lazio — total shots (home)18.5
Bodo/Glimt — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Lazio — on target (home)6.5
Bodo/Glimt — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lazio

Inside the box10.25
Outside the box4.42

Bodo/Glimt

Inside the box8.38
Outside the box3

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Zaccagni
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
Pedro
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
B. Dia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Romagnoli
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Bodo/Glimt

A. Helmersen
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
U. Saltnes
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target27%
V. Nielsen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
I. Määttä
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Høgh
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lazio xG (home)1.65
Bodo/Glimt xG (away)1.47

Average Possession

52.25% Possession 52.81%

Team Comparison Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt

84.58% Pass accuracy 83.56%
496.08 Passes per match 521.13
0.37 Goals prevented 0.16
12.83 Fouls committed 9.06
3.08 Goalkeeper saves 4.06
2.5 Offsides 1.81
17.17 Tackles per match 20.38

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt prediction analysis

Review Lazio vs Bodo/Glimt with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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