What markets are included in the Lazio vs Genoa prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lazio vs Genoa prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lazio vs Genoa

Lazio vs Genoa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-08-30 16:30

Lazio

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

BTTS Yes

Pick

Yes

Probability

51%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Genoa

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

27%

32%

+2.5 Goals

46%

BTTS

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Lazio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Genoa (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lazio

WLLWD

Genoa

LLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 63%

47% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Lazio averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Genoa averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

27%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Lazio 3 - 2 Genoa Home

Sep 2025 Lazio(A) 3 - 0 Genoa Home

Apr 2025 Lazio(A) 2 - 0 Genoa Home

Oct 2024 Lazio 3 - 0 Genoa Home

Apr 2024 Lazio(A) 1 - 0 Genoa Home

In the last 5 meetings, Lazio won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lazio — unbeaten run (home)1

Lazio — scoring streak (home)1

Genoa — winless run (away)3

Genoa — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lazio Win (1)42%

Draw (X)27%

Genoa Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 63%

47% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 37%

53% -1.5 68%

79% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Lazio vs Genoa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lazio — scored (home)1.42

Lazio — conceded (home)1.32

Genoa — scored (away)1

Genoa — conceded (away)1.32

Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Lazio — BTTS matches (home)42%

Genoa — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lazio (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against3.6

Genoa (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lazio

9 6 6 11 6

Genoa

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Lazio (home)

For2.3

Genoa (away)

For1.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%

Under 19.531%

Over 22.555%

Under 22.545%

Over 25.541%

Under 25.559%

Expected total shots24.38

Lazio

Shots Over 9.578%

Shots Over 11.564%

Shots Over 13.549%

Expected shots13.88

On Target Over 3.566%

On Target Over 4.549%

On Target Over 5.534%

Expected on target4.74

Genoa

Shots Over 9.555%

Shots Over 11.537%

Shots Over 13.523%

Expected shots10.50

On Target Over 3.546%

On Target Over 4.529%

On Target Over 5.516%

Expected on target3.52

Shots per Game

Lazio — total shots (home)12.2

Genoa — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Lazio — on target (home)4.7

Genoa — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lazio

Inside the box6.68

Outside the box4.29

Genoa

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box4.34

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target9%

G. Isaksen

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Cancellieri

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target20%

M. Zaccagni

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target12%

T. Bašić

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Genoa

L. Colombo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target16%

Vítinha

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

R. Malinovskyi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target15%

L. Østigård

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target7%

T. Baldanzi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lazio xG (home)1.12

Genoa xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

50.34% Possession 48.71%

Team Comparison Lazio vs Genoa

85.92% Pass accuracy 79.5%

491.95 Passes per match 387.29

0.21 Goals prevented 0.31

10.58 Fouls committed 12.37

3.16 Goalkeeper saves 2.92

1.06 Offsides 1.43

12.66 Tackles per match 17.34

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lazio vs Genoa prediction analysis

Review Lazio vs Genoa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights