What markets are included in the Lazio vs Lecce prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lazio vs Lecce prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lazio vs Lecce

Lazio vs Lecce prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-25 18:45

Lazio

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

51%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Lecce

Away

Prediction Summary

52%

24%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Lazio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate79%

Lecce (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lazio

LDDWD

Lecce

WWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 53%

53% +1.5 11%

21% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

79% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Lazio averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Lecce averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

52%

Draw

24%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Lazio(A) 0 - 0 Lecce Draw

Nov 2025 Lazio 2 - 0 Lecce Home

May 2025 Lazio 0 - 1 Lecce Away

Dec 2024 Lazio(A) 2 - 1 Lecce Home

Jan 2024 Lazio 1 - 0 Lecce Home

In the last 5 meetings, Lazio won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lazio — unbeaten run (home)0

Lazio — scoring streak (home)0

Lecce — winless run (away)0

Lecce — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lazio Win (1)52%

Draw (X)24%

Lecce Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 53%

53% +1.5 11%

21% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 47%

47% -1.5 89%

79% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Lazio vs Lecce — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lazio — scored (home)1.74

Lazio — conceded (home)1.37

Lecce — scored (away)0.74

Lecce — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals2.72

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Lazio — BTTS matches (home)79%

Lecce — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lazio (home)

Corners for6.3

Corners against3.7

Lecce (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lazio

6 9 6 6 18

Lecce

15 7 9 7 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Lazio (home)

For2.4

Lecce (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Lazio — total shots (home)15.3

Lecce — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Lazio — on target (home)5.5

Lecce — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lazio

Inside the box9.05

Outside the box5.05

Lecce

Inside the box6.68

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target41%

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Isaksen

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target49%

+1.5 On Target16%

Mario Gila

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

A. Marušić

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Lecce

K. N’Dri

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target9%

Tete Morente

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Krstović

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target24%

P. Dorgu

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target14%

S. Pierotti

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lazio xG (home)1.51

Lecce xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

55.11% Possession 43.55%

Team Comparison Lazio vs Lecce

86.16% Pass accuracy 77.63%

468.58 Passes per match 356.13

0.08 Goals prevented 0.18

11.16 Fouls committed 12.24

1.92 Goalkeeper saves 3.39

1.21 Offsides 1.37

13.68 Tackles per match 16.5

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lazio vs Lecce prediction analysis

Review Lazio vs Lecce with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights