What markets are included in the Lazio vs Parma prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lazio vs Parma prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lazio vs Parma

Lazio vs Parma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-28 18:45

Lazio

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

53%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Parma

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

24%

25%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

54%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Lazio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate79%

Parma (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lazio

LDDWD

Parma

WDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 63%

53% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

79% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.

Lazio averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Parma averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

24%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Lazio 1 - 1 Parma Draw

Dec 2025 Lazio(A) 1 - 0 Parma Home

Apr 2025 Lazio 2 - 2 Parma Draw

Dec 2024 Lazio(A) 1 - 3 Parma Away

May 2021 Lazio 1 - 0 Parma Home

In the last 5 meetings, Lazio won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lazio — unbeaten run (home)0

Lazio — scoring streak (home)0

Parma — winless run (away)0

Parma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lazio Win (1)51%

Draw (X)24%

Parma Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 63%

53% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 37%

47% -1.5 68%

79% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Lazio vs Parma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lazio — scored (home)1.74

Lazio — conceded (home)1.37

Parma — scored (away)1

Parma — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.78

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

Lazio — BTTS matches (home)79%

Parma — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)71%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.553%

Under 10.547%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lazio (home)

Corners for6.3

Corners against3.7

Parma (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lazio

6 9 6 6 18

Parma

6 10 4 5 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Lazio (home)

For2.4

Parma (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Lazio — total shots (home)15.3

Parma — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Lazio — on target (home)5.5

Parma — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lazio

Inside the box9.05

Outside the box5.05

Parma

Inside the box6.61

Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target41%

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Isaksen

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target49%

+1.5 On Target16%

Mario Gila

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

A. Marušić

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Parma

M. Keita

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

J. Ondrejka

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Camara

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target5%

S. Sohm

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target8%

Mateo Pellegrino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lazio xG (home)1.51

Parma xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

55.11% Possession 44.13%

Team Comparison Lazio vs Parma

86.16% Pass accuracy 79.68%

468.58 Passes per match 383

0.08 Goals prevented -0.14

11.16 Fouls committed 10.66

1.92 Goalkeeper saves 2.74

1.21 Offsides 0.82

13.68 Tackles per match 13.76

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lazio vs Parma prediction analysis

Review Lazio vs Parma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights