Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lazio vs Plzen

Lazio vs Plzen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
UEFA Europa League 2025-03-13 17:45
Lazio
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Plzen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
22%
2
23%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Lazio (Home)

Goals scored / match2.17
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate83%

Plzen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lazio
WLDWL
Plzen
DLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 88%
67% +1.5 50%
50% +2.5 13%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
83% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lazio averages 2.17 goals scored at home, while Plzen averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
22%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2025 Lazio 1 - 1 Plzen Draw
Mar 2025 Lazio(A) 2 - 1 Plzen Home

In the last 2 meetings, Lazio won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lazio — unbeaten run (home)6
Lazio — scoring streak (home)3
Plzen — winless run (away)3
Plzen — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lazio Win (1)55%
Draw (X)22%
Plzen Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 88%
67% +1.5 50%
50% +2.5 13%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 12%
33% -1.5 50%
50% -2.5 87%
83% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Lazio vs Plzen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lazio — scored (home)2.17
Lazio — conceded (home)0.83
Plzen — scored (away)1.5
Plzen — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals3.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Lazio — BTTS matches (home)83%
Plzen — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)79%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lazio (home)

Corners for8.2
Corners against3.5

Plzen (away)

Corners for2.7
Corners against7.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lazio
11 9 16 5 18
Plzen
8 16 9 9 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Lazio (home)

For3.0

Plzen (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Lazio — total shots (home)18.5
Plzen — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Lazio — on target (home)6.5
Plzen — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lazio

Inside the box10.25
Outside the box4.42

Plzen

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box5.17

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Zaccagni
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
Pedro
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
B. Dia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Romagnoli
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Plzen

P. Adu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Jirka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
R. Durosinmi
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Vydra
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
P. Šulc
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lazio xG (home)1.65
Plzen xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

52.25% Possession 40.83%

Team Comparison Lazio vs Plzen

84.58% Pass accuracy 71.83%
496.08 Passes per match 347.08
0.37 Goals prevented -0.01
12.83 Fouls committed 12
3.08 Goalkeeper saves 3.46
2.5 Offsides 2.31
17.17 Tackles per match 19.92

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lazio vs Plzen prediction analysis

Review Lazio vs Plzen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top