Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lazio vs Udinese

Lazio vs Udinese prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-03-10 19:45
Lazio
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Udinese
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
23%
2
28%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Lazio (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate79%

Udinese (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lazio
LDDWD
Udinese
LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 68%
53% +1.5 26%
21% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
79% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lazio averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Udinese averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
23%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Lazio 3 - 3 Udinese Draw
Dec 2025 Lazio(A) 1 - 1 Udinese Draw
Mar 2025 Lazio 1 - 1 Udinese Draw
Aug 2024 Lazio(A) 1 - 2 Udinese Away
Mar 2024 Lazio 1 - 2 Udinese Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lazio won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Lazio — unbeaten run (home)0
Lazio — scoring streak (home)0
Udinese — winless run (away)1
Udinese — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lazio Win (1)49%
Draw (X)23%
Udinese Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 68%
53% +1.5 26%
21% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 32%
47% -1.5 74%
79% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Lazio vs Udinese — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lazio — scored (home)1.74
Lazio — conceded (home)1.37
Udinese — scored (away)1
Udinese — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals3.12

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Lazio — BTTS matches (home)79%
Udinese — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)71%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lazio (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against3.7

Udinese (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lazio
6 9 6 6 18
Udinese
11 9 7 15 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Lazio (home)

For2.4

Udinese (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Lazio — total shots (home)15.3
Udinese — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Lazio — on target (home)5.5
Udinese — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lazio

Inside the box9.05
Outside the box5.05

Udinese

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box4.32

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target41%
Pedro
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Isaksen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target16%
Mario Gila
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Marušić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Udinese

F. Thauvin
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Lucca
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Kabasele
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lazio xG (home)1.51
Udinese xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

55.11% Possession 47.24%

Team Comparison Lazio vs Udinese

86.16% Pass accuracy 80.89%
468.58 Passes per match 388.42
0.08 Goals prevented -0.07
11.16 Fouls committed 14.21
1.92 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.21 Offsides 1.32
13.68 Tackles per match 14.82

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lazio vs Udinese prediction analysis

Review Lazio vs Udinese with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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