Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Le Havre vs Angers

Le Havre vs Angers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-12 15:00
Le Havre
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Angers
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
27%
2
23%
+2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
43%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Le Havre (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Angers (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Le Havre
WLDDD
Angers
DDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 59%
35% +1.5 6%
12% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Le Havre averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Angers averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
27%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Le Havre(A) 1 - 1 Angers Draw
Jan 2026 Le Havre 2 - 1 Angers Home
Feb 2025 Le Havre(A) 1 - 1 Angers Draw
Dec 2024 Le Havre 0 - 1 Angers Away

In the last 4 meetings, Le Havre won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Le Havre — unbeaten run (home)0
Le Havre — scoring streak (home)0
Angers — winless run (away)4
Angers — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Le Havre Win (1)50%
Draw (X)27%
Angers Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 59%
35% +1.5 6%
12% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 41%
65% -1.5 94%
88% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Le Havre vs Angers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Le Havre — scored (home)1.18
Le Havre — conceded (home)1.06
Angers — scored (away)0.65
Angers — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.27

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Le Havre — BTTS matches (home)59%
Angers — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Le Havre (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.4

Angers (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Le Havre
7 10 19 3 6
Angers
7 9 10 2 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Le Havre (home)

For1.8

Angers (away)

For1.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.567%
Under 19.533%
Over 22.553%
Under 22.547%
Over 25.539%
Under 25.561%
Expected total shots23.97

Le Havre

Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.24
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.60

Angers

Shots Over 9.557%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.73
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.67

Shots per Game

Le Havre — total shots (home)12.0
Angers — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Le Havre — on target (home)3.9
Angers — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Le Havre

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.18

Angers

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44

Player Shots Le Havre

I. Soumaré
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target21%
N. Obougoujacquet
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Samatta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Khadra
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Touré
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Angers

G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Le Havre xG (home)1.13
Angers xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

46.82% Possession 41.82%

Team Comparison Le Havre vs Angers

80.29% Pass accuracy 81.97%
376.03 Passes per match 398.09
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.01
13.71 Fouls committed 11.09
3 Goalkeeper saves 4.03
2.3 Offsides 1.79
17.44 Tackles per match 18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Le Havre vs Angers prediction analysis

Review Le Havre vs Angers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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