What markets are included in the Le Havre vs Lille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Le Havre vs Lille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Le Havre vs Lille

Le Havre vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-30 16:15

Le Havre

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

63%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lille

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

23%

37%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

64%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Le Havre (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate59%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65

Goals conceded / match1.18

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Le Havre

WLDDD

Lille

LWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 65%

35% +1.5 41%

12% +2.5 24%

6% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

59% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Le Havre averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

23%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

64%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Le Havre(A) 1 - 1 Lille Draw

Nov 2025 Le Havre 0 - 1 Lille Away

Feb 2025 Le Havre(A) 2 - 1 Lille Home

Sep 2024 Le Havre 0 - 3 Lille Away

Feb 2024 Le Havre(A) 0 - 3 Lille Away

In the last 5 meetings, Le Havre won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Le Havre — unbeaten run (home)0

Le Havre — scoring streak (home)0

Lille — winless run (away)0

Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Le Havre Win (1)40%

Draw (X)23%

Lille Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 65%

35% +1.5 41%

12% +2.5 24%

6% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 35%

65% -1.5 59%

88% -2.5 76%

94% -3.5 82%

100% -4.5 94%

Le Havre vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Le Havre — scored (home)1.18

Le Havre — conceded (home)1.06

Lille — scored (away)1.65

Lille — conceded (away)1.18

Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%

No36%

Rate per Team

Le Havre — BTTS matches (home)59%

Lille — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Le Havre (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against3.4

Lille (away)

Corners for5.1

Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Le Havre

7 10 19 3 6

Lille

8 10 19 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Le Havre (home)

For1.8

Lille (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Le Havre — total shots (home)12.0

Lille — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Le Havre — on target (home)3.9

Lille — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Le Havre

Inside the box6.76

Outside the box4.18

Lille

Inside the box9.56

Outside the box4.06

Player Shots Le Havre

I. Soumaré

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target21%

N. Obougoujacquet

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Samatta

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

R. Khadra

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Touré

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Lille

M. Fernandez-Pardo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target31%

H. Igamane

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target15%

O. Giroud

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Haraldsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Diaoune

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Le Havre xG (home)1.13

Lille xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

46.82% Possession 55.85%

Team Comparison Le Havre vs Lille

80.29% Pass accuracy 85.09%

376.03 Passes per match 496.88

-0.05 Goals prevented 0.2

13.71 Fouls committed 10.88

3 Goalkeeper saves 2.24

2.3 Offsides 1.47

17.44 Tackles per match 15.15

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Le Havre vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Le Havre vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights