Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Le Havre vs Monaco

Le Havre vs Monaco prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-08-22 15:00
Le Havre
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Monaco
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
25%
2
33%
+2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Le Havre (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Monaco (Away)

Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Le Havre
WLDDD
Monaco
LLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 71%
35% +1.5 47%
12% +2.5 24%
6% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 6%
59% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Le Havre averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Monaco averages 1.59 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
25%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Le Havre 0 - 0 Monaco Draw
Aug 2025 Le Havre(A) 1 - 3 Monaco Away
Apr 2025 Le Havre 1 - 1 Monaco Draw
Sep 2024 Le Havre(A) 1 - 3 Monaco Away
Feb 2024 Le Havre(A) 1 - 1 Monaco Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Le Havre won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Le Havre — unbeaten run (home)0
Le Havre — scoring streak (home)0
Monaco — winless run (away)1
Monaco — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Le Havre Win (1)41%
Draw (X)25%
Monaco Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 71%
35% +1.5 47%
12% +2.5 24%
6% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 29%
65% -1.5 53%
88% -2.5 76%
94% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 94%

Le Havre vs Monaco — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Le Havre — scored (home)1.18
Le Havre — conceded (home)1.06
Monaco — scored (away)1.59
Monaco — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Le Havre — BTTS matches (home)59%
Monaco — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Le Havre (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.4

Monaco (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Le Havre
7 10 19 3 6
Monaco
14 6 14 7 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Le Havre (home)

For1.8

Monaco (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.24

Le Havre

Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.556%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.84
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.33

Monaco

Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.553%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.39
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.45

Shots per Game

Le Havre — total shots (home)12.0
Monaco — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Le Havre — on target (home)3.9
Monaco — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Le Havre

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.18

Monaco

Inside the box9.18
Outside the box3.35

Player Shots Le Havre

I. Soumaré
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target21%
N. Obougoujacquet
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Samatta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Khadra
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Touré
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Monaco

F. Balogun
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target27%
Ansu Fati
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target28%
A. Golovin
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
M. Akliouche
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target10%
P. Cabral
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Le Havre xG (home)1.13
Monaco xG (away)1.7

Average Possession

46.82% Possession 53.79%

Team Comparison Le Havre vs Monaco

80.29% Pass accuracy 83.32%
376.03 Passes per match 480.44
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.11
13.71 Fouls committed 12.97
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.76
2.3 Offsides 2.43
17.44 Tackles per match 17.53

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Le Havre vs Monaco prediction analysis

Review Le Havre vs Monaco with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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