Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Le Havre vs Nantes

Le Havre vs Nantes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-03-30 15:15
Le Havre
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Nantes
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
24%
2
45%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Le Havre (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match2.41
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Nantes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate82%

Team Form last 5 matches

Le Havre
WLWDL
Nantes
WDLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 82%
12% +1.5 29%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 82%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Le Havre averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Nantes averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
24%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Le Havre(A) 0 - 2 Nantes Away
Nov 2025 Le Havre 1 - 1 Nantes Draw
Mar 2025 Le Havre 3 - 2 Nantes Home
Nov 2024 Le Havre(A) 2 - 0 Nantes Home
Apr 2024 Le Havre 0 - 1 Nantes Away

In the last 5 meetings, Le Havre won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Le Havre — unbeaten run (home)0
Le Havre — scoring streak (home)7
Nantes — winless run (away)2
Nantes — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Le Havre Win (1)32%
Draw (X)24%
Nantes Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 82%
12% +1.5 29%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 18%
88% -1.5 71%
88% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Le Havre vs Nantes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Le Havre — scored (home)0.88
Le Havre — conceded (home)2.41
Nantes — scored (away)1.18
Nantes — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Le Havre — BTTS matches (home)59%
Nantes — BTTS matches (away)82%
Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Le Havre (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.4

Nantes (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Le Havre
10 9 9 11 7
Nantes
8 8 10 10 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Le Havre (home)

For1.6

Nantes (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Le Havre — total shots (home)10.6
Nantes — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Le Havre — on target (home)3.4
Nantes — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Le Havre

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box3.76

Nantes

Inside the box7.62
Outside the box2.68

Player Shots Le Havre

Y. Salmier
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target8%
I. Soumaré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
Y. Kechta
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target6%
Koka
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Nantes

Mostafa Mohamed
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Abline
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target18%
Bahereba Guirassy
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%
Louis Leroux
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target6%
Douglas Augusto
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Le Havre xG (home)1.25
Nantes xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

42.97% Possession 39.97%

Team Comparison Le Havre vs Nantes

80.82% Pass accuracy 79.53%
372.06 Passes per match 367.76
0.22 Goals prevented 0.06
11.15 Fouls committed 12.12
3.18 Goalkeeper saves 2.94
1.56 Offsides 1.11
18.24 Tackles per match 18.91

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Le Havre vs Nantes prediction analysis

Review Le Havre vs Nantes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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