Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Le Havre vs Rennes

Le Havre vs Rennes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-04-13 15:15
Le Havre
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Rennes
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
23%
2
50%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Le Havre (Home)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match2.41
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Rennes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Le Havre
WLWDL
Rennes
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 76%
12% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 6%
59% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Le Havre averages 0.88 goals scored at home, while Rennes averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
23%
Away Win
50%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Le Havre(A) 1 - 1 Rennes Draw
Oct 2025 Le Havre 2 - 2 Rennes Draw
Apr 2025 Le Havre 1 - 5 Rennes Away
Oct 2024 Le Havre(A) 0 - 1 Rennes Away
Feb 2024 Le Havre 0 - 1 Rennes Away

In the last 5 meetings, Le Havre won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Le Havre — unbeaten run (home)0
Le Havre — scoring streak (home)7
Rennes — winless run (away)3
Rennes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Le Havre Win (1)27%
Draw (X)23%
Rennes Win (2)50%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 76%
12% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 24%
88% -1.5 59%
88% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 94%

Le Havre vs Rennes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Le Havre — scored (home)0.88
Le Havre — conceded (home)2.41
Rennes — scored (away)1.53
Rennes — conceded (away)1.94
Model expected combined goals3.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Le Havre — BTTS matches (home)59%
Rennes — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Le Havre (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.4

Rennes (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Le Havre
10 9 9 11 7
Rennes
12 9 11 6 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Le Havre (home)

For1.6

Rennes (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Le Havre — total shots (home)10.6
Rennes — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Le Havre — on target (home)3.4
Rennes — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Le Havre

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box3.76

Rennes

Inside the box8.38
Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Le Havre

Y. Salmier
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target8%
I. Soumaré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
Y. Kechta
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target6%
Koka
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Rennes

A. Kalimuendo
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target21%
Mousa Tamari
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Jacquet
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Rouault
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Gouiri
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Le Havre xG (home)1.25
Rennes xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

42.97% Possession 51.12%

Team Comparison Le Havre vs Rennes

80.82% Pass accuracy 84.12%
372.06 Passes per match 456.29
0.22 Goals prevented -0.02
11.15 Fouls committed 13.09
3.18 Goalkeeper saves 2.65
1.56 Offsides 1.41
18.24 Tackles per match 17.59

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Le Havre vs Rennes prediction analysis

Review Le Havre vs Rennes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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