Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29

Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-05 15:00
Le Havre
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Stade Brestois 29
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
26%
2
24%
+2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
49%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Le Havre (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Stade Brestois 29 (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Le Havre
WLDDD
Stade Brestois 29
DLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 59%
35% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Le Havre averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Stade Brestois 29 averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
26%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Le Havre(A) 0 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 Away
Oct 2025 Le Havre 1 - 0 Stade Brestois 29 Home
Jan 2025 Le Havre 0 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 Away
Oct 2024 Le Havre(A) 0 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 Away
Mar 2024 Le Havre(A) 0 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 Away

In the last 5 meetings, Le Havre won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Le Havre — unbeaten run (home)0
Le Havre — scoring streak (home)0
Stade Brestois 29 — winless run (away)5
Stade Brestois 29 — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Le Havre Win (1)50%
Draw (X)26%
Stade Brestois 29 Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 59%
35% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 41%
65% -1.5 76%
88% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Le Havre — scored (home)1.18
Le Havre — conceded (home)1.06
Stade Brestois 29 — scored (away)0.88
Stade Brestois 29 — conceded (away)1.88
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Le Havre — BTTS matches (home)59%
Stade Brestois 29 — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Le Havre (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.4

Stade Brestois 29 (away)

Corners for3.1
Corners against7.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Le Havre
7 10 19 3 6
Stade Brestois 29
6 10 15 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Le Havre (home)

For1.8

Stade Brestois 29 (away)

For1.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.541%
Under 25.559%
Expected total shots24.39

Le Havre

Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.25
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.62

Stade Brestois 29

Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.14
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.86

Shots per Game

Le Havre — total shots (home)12.0
Stade Brestois 29 — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

Le Havre — on target (home)3.9
Stade Brestois 29 — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Le Havre

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.18

Stade Brestois 29

Inside the box7.12
Outside the box4.12

Player Shots Le Havre

I. Soumaré
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target21%
N. Obougoujacquet
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Samatta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Khadra
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Touré
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Stade Brestois 29

R. Labeau Lascary
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target11%
K. Doumbia
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Ajorque
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Del Castillo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Le Cardinal
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Le Havre xG (home)1.13
Stade Brestois 29 xG (away)1.33

Average Possession

46.82% Possession 43.38%

Team Comparison Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29

80.29% Pass accuracy 78.18%
376.03 Passes per match 376.21
-0.05 Goals prevented 0.04
13.71 Fouls committed 12.76
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.12
2.3 Offsides 1.36
17.44 Tackles per match 18.32

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction analysis

Review Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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