What markets are included in the Lecce vs AS Roma prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lecce vs AS Roma prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lecce vs AS Roma

Lecce vs AS Roma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-08-30 16:30

Lecce

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

AS Roma

Away

Prediction Summary

25%

28%

46%

+2.5 Goals

38%

BTTS

43%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lecce (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

AS Roma (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lecce

WWLWD

AS Roma

WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 79%

21% +1.5 47%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lecce averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while AS Roma averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

25%

Draw

28%

Away Win

46%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Lecce(A) 0 - 1 AS Roma Away

Jan 2026 Lecce 0 - 2 AS Roma Away

Mar 2025 Lecce 0 - 1 AS Roma Away

Dec 2024 Lecce(A) 1 - 4 AS Roma Away

Apr 2024 Lecce 0 - 0 AS Roma Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Lecce won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Lecce — unbeaten run (home)1

Lecce — scoring streak (home)1

AS Roma — winless run (away)0

AS Roma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lecce Win (1)25%

Draw (X)28%

AS Roma Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 79%

21% +1.5 47%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 21%

79% -1.5 53%

100% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Lecce vs AS Roma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lecce — scored (home)0.68

Lecce — conceded (home)1.26

AS Roma — scored (away)1.37

AS Roma — conceded (away)1.11

Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Lecce — BTTS matches (home)37%

AS Roma — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lecce (home)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.5

AS Roma (away)

Corners for4.6

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lecce

6 7 8 10 7

AS Roma

14 9 9 11 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Lecce (home)

For1.8

AS Roma (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%

Under 19.532%

Over 22.553%

Under 22.547%

Over 25.539%

Under 25.561%

Expected total shots24.05

Lecce

Shots Over 9.570%

Shots Over 11.554%

Shots Over 13.538%

Expected shots12.49

On Target Over 3.554%

On Target Over 4.536%

On Target Over 5.523%

Expected on target3.97

AS Roma

Shots Over 9.564%

Shots Over 11.546%

Shots Over 13.531%

Expected shots11.56

On Target Over 3.555%

On Target Over 4.538%

On Target Over 5.524%

Expected on target4.05

Shots per Game

Lecce — total shots (home)10.6

AS Roma — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Lecce — on target (home)2.8

AS Roma — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lecce

Inside the box5.68

Outside the box4.13

AS Roma

Inside the box9.74

Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Lecce

W. Cheddira

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Banda

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target13%

M. Berisha

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Kaba

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target7%

N. Štulić

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots AS Roma

D. Malen

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target89%

+1.5 On Target56%

E. Ferguson

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target38%

P. Dybala

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target23%

M. Soulé

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target9%

L. Pellegrini

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lecce xG (home)0.82

AS Roma xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

41.61% Possession 56.29%

Team Comparison Lecce vs AS Roma

74.34% Pass accuracy 83.32%

321.13 Passes per match 487.97

0.17 Goals prevented -0.02

12.63 Fouls committed 13.76

2.89 Goalkeeper saves 2.82

1.35 Offsides 1.68

17.68 Tackles per match 15.11

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lecce vs AS Roma prediction analysis

Review Lecce vs AS Roma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights