What markets are included in the Lecce vs Genoa prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lecce vs Genoa prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lecce vs Genoa

Lecce vs Genoa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-01-05 14:00

Lecce

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Genoa

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

26%

41%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Lecce (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Genoa (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lecce

WWDLD

Genoa

WLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 58%

16% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Lecce averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Genoa averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

26%

Away Win

41%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Lecce 1 - 0 Genoa Home

Aug 2025 Lecce(A) 0 - 0 Genoa Draw

Mar 2025 Lecce(A) 1 - 2 Genoa Away

Jan 2025 Lecce 0 - 0 Genoa Draw

Jan 2024 Lecce(A) 1 - 2 Genoa Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lecce won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Lecce — unbeaten run (home)1

Lecce — scoring streak (home)1

Genoa — winless run (away)0

Genoa — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lecce Win (1)32%

Draw (X)26%

Genoa Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 58%

16% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 42%

84% -1.5 79%

100% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Lecce vs Genoa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lecce — scored (home)0.68

Lecce — conceded (home)1.63

Genoa — scored (away)0.84

Genoa — conceded (away)1.26

Model expected combined goals2.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Lecce — BTTS matches (home)37%

Genoa — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lecce (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against5.2

Genoa (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lecce

15 7 9 7 18

Genoa

9 15 8 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Lecce (home)

For1.2

Genoa (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Lecce — total shots (home)13.1

Genoa — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

Lecce — on target (home)3.5

Genoa — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lecce

Inside the box6.68

Outside the box5.26

Genoa

Inside the box6.74

Outside the box3.39

Player Shots Lecce

K. N’Dri

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target9%

Tete Morente

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Krstović

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target24%

P. Dorgu

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target14%

S. Pierotti

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Genoa

A. Pinamonti

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target28%

K. De Winter

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target12%

F. Miretti

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target8%

C. Ekuban

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target6%

L. Venturino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lecce xG (home)0.92

Genoa xG (away)0.99

Average Possession

43.55% Possession 45.61%

Team Comparison Lecce vs Genoa

77.63% Pass accuracy 78.32%

356.13 Passes per match 372.39

0.18 Goals prevented 0.1

12.24 Fouls committed 13.08

3.39 Goalkeeper saves 3.14

1.37 Offsides 1.53

16.5 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lecce vs Genoa prediction analysis

Review Lecce vs Genoa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights