Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lecce vs Hellas Verona

Lecce vs Hellas Verona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2024-10-29 17:30
Lecce
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
76%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Hellas Verona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
20%
2
49%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
74%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Lecce (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%

Hellas Verona (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lecce
WWDLD
Hellas Verona
WDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 63%
16% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 76%. Model confidence is High.

Lecce averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Hellas Verona averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
20%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
74%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Lecce(A) 0 - 0 Hellas Verona Draw
Nov 2025 Lecce 0 - 0 Hellas Verona Draw
May 2025 Lecce(A) 1 - 1 Hellas Verona Draw
Oct 2024 Lecce 1 - 0 Hellas Verona Home
Mar 2024 Lecce 0 - 1 Hellas Verona Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lecce won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lecce — unbeaten run (home)1
Lecce — scoring streak (home)1
Hellas Verona — winless run (away)0
Hellas Verona — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lecce Win (1)30%
Draw (X)20%
Hellas Verona Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 63%
16% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 37%
84% -1.5 74%
100% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Lecce vs Hellas Verona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lecce — scored (home)0.68
Lecce — conceded (home)1.63
Hellas Verona — scored (away)1
Hellas Verona — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals4

Both Teams To Score

Yes74%
No26%

Rate per Team

Lecce — BTTS matches (home)37%
Hellas Verona — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lecce (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.2

Hellas Verona (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lecce
15 7 9 7 18
Hellas Verona
5 7 9 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Lecce (home)

For1.2

Hellas Verona (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Lecce — total shots (home)13.1
Hellas Verona — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Lecce — on target (home)3.5
Hellas Verona — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lecce

Inside the box6.68
Outside the box5.26

Hellas Verona

Inside the box6.18
Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Lecce

K. N’Dri
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target9%
Tete Morente
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target13%
N. Krstović
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target24%
P. Dorgu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Pierotti
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Hellas Verona

D. Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Ghilardi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Suslov
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
S. Serdar
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%
C. Tengstedt
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lecce xG (home)0.92
Hellas Verona xG (away)0.91

Average Possession

43.55% Possession 38.47%

Team Comparison Lecce vs Hellas Verona

77.63% Pass accuracy 74.21%
356.13 Passes per match 318.58
0.18 Goals prevented 0.01
12.24 Fouls committed 15.24
3.39 Goalkeeper saves 2.95
1.37 Offsides 1.57
16.5 Tackles per match 17.71

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lecce vs Hellas Verona prediction analysis

Review Lecce vs Hellas Verona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top