Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lecce vs Inter

Lecce vs Inter prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-01-26 17:00
Lecce
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
High
Score
0-2
Inter
Away

Prediction Summary

1
11%
X
18%
2
72%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Lecce (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%

Inter (Away)

Goals scored / match2.05
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lecce
WWDLD
Inter
WDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 84%
16% +1.5 58%
0% +2.5 32%
0% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 11%
37% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is High.

Lecce averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Inter averages 2.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
11%
Draw
18%
Away Win
72%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Lecce 0 - 2 Inter Away
Jan 2026 Lecce(A) 0 - 1 Inter Away
Jan 2025 Lecce 0 - 4 Inter Away
Aug 2024 Lecce(A) 0 - 2 Inter Away
Feb 2024 Lecce 0 - 4 Inter Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lecce won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Lecce — unbeaten run (home)1
Lecce — scoring streak (home)1
Inter — winless run (away)0
Inter — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lecce Win (1)11%
Draw (X)18%
Inter Win (2)72%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 84%
16% +1.5 58%
0% +2.5 32%
0% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 16%
84% -1.5 42%
100% -2.5 68%
100% -3.5 84%
100% -4.5 89%

Lecce vs Inter — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lecce — scored (home)0.68
Lecce — conceded (home)1.63
Inter — scored (away)2.05
Inter — conceded (away)0.74
Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Lecce — BTTS matches (home)37%
Inter — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)34.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lecce (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.2

Inter (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lecce
15 7 9 7 18
Inter
7 7 12 6 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Lecce (home)

For1.2

Inter (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Lecce — total shots (home)13.1
Inter — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Lecce — on target (home)3.5
Inter — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lecce

Inside the box6.68
Outside the box5.26

Inter

Inside the box10.7
Outside the box4.51

Player Shots Lecce

K. N’Dri
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target9%
Tete Morente
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target13%
N. Krstović
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target24%
P. Dorgu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Pierotti
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Inter

M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Correa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Arnautović
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Dumfries
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lecce xG (home)0.92
Inter xG (away)1.82

Average Possession

43.55% Possession 59.38%

Team Comparison Lecce vs Inter

77.63% Pass accuracy 87.65%
356.13 Passes per match 549.54
0.18 Goals prevented -0.13
12.24 Fouls committed 11
3.39 Goalkeeper saves 2.54
1.37 Offsides 2.42
16.5 Tackles per match 13.26

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lecce vs Inter prediction analysis

Review Lecce vs Inter with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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