Prediction Analysis: Lecce vs Monza
Lecce vs Monza prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-09-13
16:30
Lecce
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Monza
Away
Prediction Summary
1
37%
X
29%
2
34%
+2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
46%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Lecce (Home)
Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%
Monza (Away)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Team Form last 5 matches
Lecce
WWLWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
47%
+0.5
0%
21%
+1.5
0%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
37%
BTTS
0%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.
Lecce averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Monza averages 0 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
37%
Draw
29%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2025
Lecce(A)
0 - 0
Monza
Draw
Dec 2024
Lecce
2 - 1
Monza
Home
Apr 2024
Lecce
1 - 1
Monza
Draw
Sep 2023
Lecce(A)
1 - 1
Monza
Draw
May 2023
Lecce(A)
1 - 0
Monza
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Lecce won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Lecce — unbeaten run (home)1
Lecce — scoring streak (home)1
1X2 Probability model
Lecce Win (1)37%
Draw (X)29%
Monza Win (2)34%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
47%
+0.5
0%
21%
+1.5
0%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
53%
-0.5
100%
79%
-1.5
100%
100%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Lecce vs Monza — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Lecce — scored (home)0.68
Lecce — conceded (home)1.26
Monza — scored (away)0
Monza — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.26
Both Teams To Score
Yes46%
No54%
Rate per Team
Lecce — BTTS matches (home)37%
Monza — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)18.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Lecce (home)
Corners for4.2
Corners against4.5
Monza (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Lecce
6
7
8
10
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.548%
Under 1.552%
Over 2.540%
Under 2.560%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Lecce (home)
For1.8
Monza (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.554%
Under 22.546%
Over 25.540%
Under 25.560%
Expected total shots24.23
Lecce
Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.563%
Shots Over 13.548%
Expected shots13.73
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.527%
Expected on target4.27
Monza
Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.50
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.530%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.59
Shots per Game
Lecce — total shots (home)10.6
Monza — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Lecce — on target (home)2.8
Monza — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Lecce
Inside the box5.68
Outside the box4.13
Monza
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Lecce
W. Cheddira
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Banda
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Berisha
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Kaba
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%
N. Štulić
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Monza
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce xG (home)0.82
Monza xG (away)-
Average Possession
41.61%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Lecce vs Monza
74.34%
Pass accuracy
0%
321.13
Passes per match
-
0.17
Goals prevented
-
12.63
Fouls committed
-
2.89
Goalkeeper saves
-
1.35
Offsides
-
17.68
Tackles per match
-
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Lecce vs Monza prediction analysis
Review Lecce vs Monza with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights