Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lecce vs Torino

Lecce vs Torino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-18 18:45
Lecce
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Torino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
26%
2
47%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Lecce (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%

Torino (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lecce
WWDLD
Torino
LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 68%
16% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Lecce averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Torino averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
26%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Lecce(A) 0 - 1 Torino Away
Nov 2025 Lecce 2 - 1 Torino Home
May 2025 Lecce 1 - 0 Torino Home
Sep 2024 Lecce(A) 0 - 0 Torino Draw
Feb 2024 Lecce(A) 0 - 2 Torino Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lecce won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Lecce — unbeaten run (home)1
Lecce — scoring streak (home)1
Torino — winless run (away)5
Torino — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lecce Win (1)27%
Draw (X)26%
Torino Win (2)47%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 68%
16% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 32%
84% -1.5 58%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Lecce vs Torino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lecce — scored (home)0.68
Lecce — conceded (home)1.63
Torino — scored (away)1.16
Torino — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Lecce — BTTS matches (home)37%
Torino — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lecce (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.2

Torino (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lecce
15 7 9 7 18
Torino
7 6 12 7 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Lecce (home)

For1.2

Torino (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Lecce — total shots (home)13.1
Torino — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Lecce — on target (home)3.5
Torino — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lecce

Inside the box6.68
Outside the box5.26

Torino

Inside the box6.26
Outside the box3.89

Player Shots Lecce

K. N’Dri
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target9%
Tete Morente
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target13%
N. Krstović
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target24%
P. Dorgu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Pierotti
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Torino

C. Casadei
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target13%
D. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
C. Adams
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Elmas
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Vlašić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lecce xG (home)0.92
Torino xG (away)0.93

Average Possession

43.55% Possession 47.45%

Team Comparison Lecce vs Torino

77.63% Pass accuracy 81.16%
356.13 Passes per match 405.37
0.18 Goals prevented 0.05
12.24 Fouls committed 12.71
3.39 Goalkeeper saves 3.86
1.37 Offsides 1.54
16.5 Tackles per match 12.32

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lecce vs Torino prediction analysis

Review Lecce vs Torino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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