Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lecce vs Torino

Lecce vs Torino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2025-11-30 11:30
Lecce
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
35%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Torino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
30%
2
33%
Under 2.5
65%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Lecce (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%

Torino (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lecce
WWLWD
Torino
DLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 58%
21% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lecce averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Torino averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
30%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Lecce(A) 0 - 1 Torino Away
Nov 2025 Lecce 2 - 1 Torino Home
May 2025 Lecce 1 - 0 Torino Home
Sep 2024 Lecce(A) 0 - 0 Torino Draw
Feb 2024 Lecce(A) 0 - 2 Torino Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lecce won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Lecce — unbeaten run (home)1
Lecce — scoring streak (home)1
Torino — winless run (away)3
Torino — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lecce Win (1)37%
Draw (X)30%
Torino Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 58%
21% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 42%
79% -1.5 79%
100% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Lecce vs Torino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lecce — scored (home)0.68
Lecce — conceded (home)1.26
Torino — scored (away)0.89
Torino — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Lecce — BTTS matches (home)37%
Torino — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lecce (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.5

Torino (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lecce
6 7 8 10 7
Torino
10 7 12 6 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Lecce (home)

For1.8

Torino (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Lecce — total shots (home)10.6
Torino — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

Lecce — on target (home)2.8
Torino — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lecce

Inside the box5.68
Outside the box4.13

Torino

Inside the box7.34
Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Lecce

W. Cheddira
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Banda
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Berisha
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Kaba
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%
N. Štulić
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Torino

G. Simeone
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target16%
C. Ngonge
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Adams
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
D. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. Casadei
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lecce xG (home)0.82
Torino xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

41.61% Possession 44.13%

Team Comparison Lecce vs Torino

74.34% Pass accuracy 79.45%
321.13 Passes per match 375.24
0.17 Goals prevented -0.1
12.63 Fouls committed 13.95
2.89 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
1.35 Offsides 1.75
17.68 Tackles per match 16.05

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lecce vs Torino prediction analysis

Review Lecce vs Torino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top