Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lech Poznan vs Aarhus

Lech Poznan vs Aarhus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2026-07-29 17:00
Lech Poznan
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
84%
Confidence
High
Score
3-1
Aarhus
Away

Prediction Summary

1
80%
X
11%
2
8%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS Yes
67%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Lech Poznan (Home)

Goals scored / match4
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate100%

Aarhus (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lech Poznan
WDLWW
Aarhus
L

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 0%
50% +1.5 0%
50% +2.5 0%
50% +3.5 0%
50% +4.5 0%
100% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 84%. Model confidence is High.

Lech Poznan averages 4 goals scored at home, while Aarhus averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
84%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
80%
Draw
11%
Away Win
8%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS Yes
67%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jul 2026 Lech Poznan(A) 4 - 1 Aarhus Home

In the last 1 meetings, Lech Poznan won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lech Poznan — unbeaten run (home)0
Lech Poznan — scoring streak (home)2

1X2 Probability model

Lech Poznan Win (1)80%
Draw (X)11%
Aarhus Win (2)8%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 0%
50% +1.5 0%
50% +2.5 0%
50% +3.5 0%
50% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 100%
50% -1.5 100%
50% -2.5 100%
50% -3.5 100%
50% -4.5 100%

Lech Poznan vs Aarhus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lech Poznan — scored (home)4
Lech Poznan — conceded (home)2
Aarhus — scored (away)0
Aarhus — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals4.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%
No33%

Rate per Team

Lech Poznan — BTTS matches (home)100%
Aarhus — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lech Poznan (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.0

Aarhus (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lech Poznan
8 6
Aarhus
6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.50%
Under 2.5100%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2

Yellow Cards per Team

Lech Poznan (home)

For1.0

Aarhus (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.549%
Under 25.551%
Expected total shots26.40

Lech Poznan

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.97
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.558%
On Target Over 5.545%
Expected on target5.53

Aarhus

Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.43
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.31

Shots per Game

Lech Poznan — total shots (home)11.0
Aarhus — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Lech Poznan — on target (home)4.0
Aarhus — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lech Poznan

Inside the box5
Outside the box6

Aarhus

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lech Poznan xG (home)0
Aarhus xG (away)-

Average Possession

60% Possession -%

Team Comparison Lech Poznan vs Aarhus

84% Pass accuracy 0%
516 Passes per match -
0 Goals prevented -
13 Fouls committed -
3 Goalkeeper saves -
1 Offsides -
29 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lech Poznan vs Aarhus prediction analysis

Review Lech Poznan vs Aarhus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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