Prediction Analysis: Lech Poznan vs Aarhus
Lech Poznan vs Aarhus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Lech Poznan
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
84%
Confidence
High
Score
3-1

Aarhus
Away
Prediction Summary
1
80%
X
11%
2
8%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS Yes
67%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Lech Poznan (Home)
Goals scored / match4
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate100%
Aarhus (Away)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Team Form last 5 matches
Lech Poznan
WDLWW
Aarhus
L
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
0%
50%
+1.5
0%
50%
+2.5
0%
50%
+3.5
0%
50%
+4.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 84%. Model confidence is High.
Lech Poznan averages 4 goals scored at home, while Aarhus averages 0 goals scored away.
Model Strength
84%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
80%
Draw
11%
Away Win
8%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS Yes
67%
Head-to-Head last 1
Jul 2026
Lech Poznan(A)
4 - 1
Aarhus
Home
In the last 1 meetings, Lech Poznan won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Lech Poznan — unbeaten run (home)0
Lech Poznan — scoring streak (home)2
1X2 Probability model
Lech Poznan Win (1)80%
Draw (X)11%
Aarhus Win (2)8%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
0%
50%
+1.5
0%
50%
+2.5
0%
50%
+3.5
0%
50%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
100%
50%
-1.5
100%
50%
-2.5
100%
50%
-3.5
100%
50%
-4.5
100%
Lech Poznan vs Aarhus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Lech Poznan — scored (home)4
Lech Poznan — conceded (home)2
Aarhus — scored (away)0
Aarhus — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals4.67
Both Teams To Score
Yes67%
No33%
Rate per Team
Lech Poznan — BTTS matches (home)100%
Aarhus — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Lech Poznan (home)
Corners for4.0
Corners against4.0
Aarhus (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Lech Poznan
8
6
Aarhus
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.50%
Under 2.5100%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2
Yellow Cards per Team
Lech Poznan (home)
For1.0
Aarhus (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.549%
Under 25.551%
Expected total shots26.40
Lech Poznan
Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.97
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.558%
On Target Over 5.545%
Expected on target5.53
Aarhus
Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.43
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.31
Shots per Game
Lech Poznan — total shots (home)11.0
Aarhus — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Lech Poznan — on target (home)4.0
Aarhus — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Lech Poznan
Inside the box5
Outside the box6
Aarhus
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
Lech Poznan xG (home)0
Aarhus xG (away)-
Average Possession
60%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Lech Poznan vs Aarhus
84%
Pass accuracy
0%
516
Passes per match
-
0
Goals prevented
-
13
Fouls committed
-
3
Goalkeeper saves
-
1
Offsides
-
29
Tackles per match
-
League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Lech Poznan vs Aarhus prediction analysis
Review Lech Poznan vs Aarhus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights