What markets are included in the Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Leeds vs Crystal Palace

Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-20 20:00

Leeds

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Crystal Palace

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

27%

43%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Leeds (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate32%

BTTS rate53%

Crystal Palace (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leeds

LWDWD

Crystal Palace

LDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%

42% +1.5 32%

32% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Leeds averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while Crystal Palace averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

27%

Away Win

43%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Leeds(A) 0 - 0 Crystal Palace Draw

Dec 2025 Leeds 4 - 1 Crystal Palace Home

Apr 2023 Leeds 1 - 5 Crystal Palace Away

Oct 2022 Leeds(A) 1 - 2 Crystal Palace Away

Apr 2022 Leeds(A) 0 - 0 Crystal Palace Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Leeds won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Leeds — unbeaten run (home)4

Leeds — scoring streak (home)3

Crystal Palace — winless run (away)4

Crystal Palace — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leeds Win (1)31%

Draw (X)27%

Crystal Palace Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%

42% +1.5 32%

32% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%

58% -1.5 68%

68% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Leeds vs Crystal Palace — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leeds — scored (home)1.53

Leeds — conceded (home)1.11

Crystal Palace — scored (away)1.16

Crystal Palace — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Leeds — BTTS matches (home)53%

Crystal Palace — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leeds (home)

Corners for5.6

Corners against4.2

Crystal Palace (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leeds

13 5 16 15 10

Crystal Palace

8 15 13 13 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%

Under 0.58%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.566%

Under 2.534%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Leeds (home)

For1.6

Crystal Palace (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Leeds — total shots (home)14.3

Crystal Palace — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Leeds — on target (home)4.4

Crystal Palace — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leeds

Inside the box8.58

Outside the box4

Crystal Palace

Inside the box8.5

Outside the box3.13

Player Shots Leeds

D. Calvert-Lewin

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target20%

N. Okafor

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target7%

L. Nmecha

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target6%

A. Stach

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target0%

B. Aaronson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Crystal Palace

J. Mateta

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target28%

I. Sarr

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target14%

J. Strand Larsen

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target14%

E. Nketiah

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

D. Muñoz

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leeds xG (home)1.43

Crystal Palace xG (away)1.53

Average Possession

45.74% Possession 45.92%

Team Comparison Leeds vs Crystal Palace

78.32% Pass accuracy 77.55%

395.66 Passes per match 392.63

0.01 Goals prevented 0.28

10.47 Fouls committed 10.47

2.66 Goalkeeper saves 2.87

1.62 Offsides 1.92

17.39 Tackles per match 18.55

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction analysis

Review Leeds vs Crystal Palace with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights