What markets are included in the Leganes vs Barcelona prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Leganes vs Barcelona prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Leganes vs Barcelona

Leganes vs Barcelona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-12 19:00

Leganes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

64%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-2

Barcelona

Away

Prediction Summary

19%

20%

61%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Leganes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate37%

Barcelona (Away)

Goals scored / match2.63

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leganes

WWLWD

Barcelona

WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 95%

37% +1.5 84%

21% +2.5 42%

0% +3.5 32%

0% +4.5 11%

37% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leganes averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Barcelona averages 2.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

19%

Draw

20%

Away Win

61%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Leganes 0 - 1 Barcelona Away

Dec 2024 Leganes(A) 1 - 0 Barcelona Home

Jun 2020 Leganes(A) 0 - 2 Barcelona Away

Jan 2020 Leganes(A) 0 - 5 Barcelona Away

Nov 2019 Leganes 1 - 2 Barcelona Away

In the last 5 meetings, Leganes won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Leganes — unbeaten run (home)3

Leganes — scoring streak (home)3

Barcelona — winless run (away)0

Barcelona — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leganes Win (1)19%

Draw (X)20%

Barcelona Win (2)61%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 95%

37% +1.5 84%

21% +2.5 42%

0% +3.5 32%

0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 5%

63% -1.5 16%

79% -2.5 58%

100% -3.5 68%

100% -4.5 89%

Leganes vs Barcelona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leganes — scored (home)1.21

Leganes — conceded (home)1.42

Barcelona — scored (away)2.63

Barcelona — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals3.3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

Leganes — BTTS matches (home)37%

Barcelona — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.555%

Under 9.545%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leganes (home)

Corners for2.7

Corners against5.5

Barcelona (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leganes

10 11 9 11 7

Barcelona

12 12 6 14 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Leganes (home)

For1.9

Barcelona (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Leganes — total shots (home)8.9

Barcelona — total shots (away)15.1

Shots on Target

Leganes — on target (home)2.9

Barcelona — on target (away)5.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leganes

Inside the box5.03

Outside the box4.24

Barcelona

Inside the box11.45

Outside the box6.37

Player Shots Leganes

Jorge Sáenz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

Dani Raba

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target17%

Miguel de la Fuente

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target6%

V. Rosier

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

Javi Hernández

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Barcelona

Raphinha

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target25%

R. Lewandowski

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target44%

Lamine Yamal

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target26%

J. Koundé

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Dani Olmo

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leganes xG (home)0.95

Barcelona xG (away)2.34

Average Possession

42.42% Possession 69.08%

Team Comparison Leganes vs Barcelona

76% Pass accuracy 88.45%

354.42 Passes per match 632.84

-0.01 Goals prevented -0.04

13.24 Fouls committed 9.68

3.32 Goalkeeper saves 1.87

2.21 Offsides 1.76

16.66 Tackles per match 14.16

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leganes vs Barcelona prediction analysis

Review Leganes vs Barcelona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights