What markets are included in the Leganes vs Celta Vigo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Leganes vs Celta Vigo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Leganes vs Celta Vigo

Leganes vs Celta Vigo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-10-27 12:00

Leganes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Celta Vigo

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

25%

35%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Leganes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate37%

Celta Vigo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match1.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leganes

WWLWD

Celta Vigo

WLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 89%

37% +1.5 42%

21% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leganes averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Celta Vigo averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

25%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2025 Leganes(A) 1 - 2 Celta Vigo Away

Oct 2024 Leganes 3 - 0 Celta Vigo Home

Feb 2020 Leganes(A) 0 - 1 Celta Vigo Away

Dec 2019 Leganes 3 - 2 Celta Vigo Home

In the last 4 meetings, Leganes won 2, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Leganes — unbeaten run (home)3

Leganes — scoring streak (home)3

Celta Vigo — winless run (away)0

Celta Vigo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leganes Win (1)40%

Draw (X)25%

Celta Vigo Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 89%

37% +1.5 42%

21% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 11%

63% -1.5 58%

79% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Leganes vs Celta Vigo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leganes — scored (home)1.21

Leganes — conceded (home)1.42

Celta Vigo — scored (away)1.42

Celta Vigo — conceded (away)1.89

Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Leganes — BTTS matches (home)37%

Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (away)74%

Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.566%

Under 6.534%

Over 7.550%

Under 7.550%

Over 8.542%

Under 8.558%

Over 9.532%

Under 9.568%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leganes (home)

Corners for2.7

Corners against5.5

Celta Vigo (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leganes

10 11 9 11 7

Celta Vigo

10 9 15 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Leganes (home)

For1.9

Celta Vigo (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Leganes — total shots (home)8.9

Celta Vigo — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Leganes — on target (home)2.9

Celta Vigo — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leganes

Inside the box5.03

Outside the box4.24

Celta Vigo

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box4.11

Player Shots Leganes

Jorge Sáenz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

Dani Raba

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target17%

Miguel de la Fuente

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target6%

V. Rosier

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

Javi Hernández

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Celta Vigo

T. Douvikas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target10%

Borja Iglesias

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Iago Aspas

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target23%

Alfon González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leganes xG (home)0.95

Celta Vigo xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

42.42% Possession 53.71%

Team Comparison Leganes vs Celta Vigo

76% Pass accuracy 84.66%

354.42 Passes per match 517.95

-0.01 Goals prevented -0.14

13.24 Fouls committed 12.16

3.32 Goalkeeper saves 2.42

2.21 Offsides 1.86

16.66 Tackles per match 14.68

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leganes vs Celta Vigo prediction analysis

Review Leganes vs Celta Vigo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights