What markets are included in the Leganes vs Espanyol prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Leganes vs Espanyol prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Leganes vs Espanyol

Leganes vs Espanyol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-11 12:00

Leganes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Espanyol

Away

Prediction Summary

38%

27%

34%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Leganes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate37%

Espanyol (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leganes

WWLWD

Espanyol

WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 63%

37% +1.5 16%

21% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leganes averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Espanyol averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

38%

Draw

27%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Leganes 3 - 2 Espanyol Home

Jan 2025 Leganes(A) 1 - 1 Espanyol Draw

Apr 2024 Leganes 0 - 0 Espanyol Draw

Oct 2023 Leganes(A) 1 - 0 Espanyol Home

Apr 2021 Leganes(A) 1 - 2 Espanyol Away

In the last 5 meetings, Leganes won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Leganes — unbeaten run (home)3

Leganes — scoring streak (home)3

Espanyol — winless run (away)4

Espanyol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leganes Win (1)38%

Draw (X)27%

Espanyol Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 63%

37% +1.5 16%

21% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 37%

63% -1.5 84%

79% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Leganes vs Espanyol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leganes — scored (home)1.21

Leganes — conceded (home)1.42

Espanyol — scored (away)0.89

Espanyol — conceded (away)1.63

Model expected combined goals2.44

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Leganes — BTTS matches (home)37%

Espanyol — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.569%

Under 6.531%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leganes (home)

Corners for2.7

Corners against5.5

Espanyol (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leganes

10 11 9 11 7

Espanyol

10 11 6 14 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Leganes (home)

For1.9

Espanyol (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Leganes — total shots (home)8.9

Espanyol — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Leganes — on target (home)2.9

Espanyol — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leganes

Inside the box5.03

Outside the box4.24

Espanyol

Inside the box5.79

Outside the box3.58

Player Shots Leganes

Jorge Sáenz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

Dani Raba

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target17%

Miguel de la Fuente

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target6%

V. Rosier

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

Javi Hernández

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Espanyol

Javi Puado

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target20%

Roberto Fernández

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target11%

A. Véliz

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target4%

Edu Expósito

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target5%

L. Cabrera

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leganes xG (home)0.95

Espanyol xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

42.42% Possession 39.55%

Team Comparison Leganes vs Espanyol

76% Pass accuracy 76.58%

354.42 Passes per match 328.29

-0.01 Goals prevented -0.04

13.24 Fouls committed 13.11

3.32 Goalkeeper saves 3.82

2.21 Offsides 1.74

16.66 Tackles per match 16.84

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leganes vs Espanyol prediction analysis

Review Leganes vs Espanyol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights