What markets are included in the Leganes vs Girona prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Leganes vs Girona prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Leganes vs Girona

Leganes vs Girona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-24 17:00

Leganes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

45%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Girona

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

27%

33%

Under 2.5

55%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Leganes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate37%

Girona (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leganes

WWLWD

Girona

LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 16%

21% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leganes averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Girona averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

27%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

45%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Leganes 1 - 1 Girona Draw

Nov 2024 Leganes(A) 3 - 4 Girona Away

Feb 2022 Leganes 1 - 1 Girona Draw

Dec 2021 Leganes(A) 0 - 3 Girona Away

Feb 2021 Leganes(A) 2 - 0 Girona Home

In the last 5 meetings, Leganes won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Leganes — unbeaten run (home)3

Leganes — scoring streak (home)3

Girona — winless run (away)1

Girona — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leganes Win (1)40%

Draw (X)27%

Girona Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 16%

21% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 26%

63% -1.5 84%

79% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Leganes vs Girona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leganes — scored (home)1.21

Leganes — conceded (home)1.42

Girona — scored (away)0.89

Girona — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.47

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Leganes — BTTS matches (home)37%

Girona — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leganes (home)

Corners for2.7

Corners against5.5

Girona (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leganes

10 11 9 11 7

Girona

7 8 10 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Leganes (home)

For1.9

Girona (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Leganes — total shots (home)8.9

Girona — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Leganes — on target (home)2.9

Girona — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leganes

Inside the box5.03

Outside the box4.24

Girona

Inside the box7.03

Outside the box3.55

Player Shots Leganes

Jorge Sáenz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

Dani Raba

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target17%

Miguel de la Fuente

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target6%

V. Rosier

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

Javi Hernández

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Girona

Abel Ruiz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target13%

Iván Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

David López

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target3%

Y. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target14%

B. Miovski

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leganes xG (home)0.95

Girona xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

42.42% Possession 56.47%

Team Comparison Leganes vs Girona

76% Pass accuracy 87.37%

354.42 Passes per match 517.42

-0.01 Goals prevented -0.2

13.24 Fouls committed 11.5

3.32 Goalkeeper saves 2.86

2.21 Offsides 2.14

16.66 Tackles per match 14.92

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leganes vs Girona prediction analysis

Review Leganes vs Girona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights