Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Leganes vs Real Betis

Leganes vs Real Betis prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-03-16 13:00
Leganes
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Real Betis
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
28%
2
37%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Leganes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate37%

Real Betis (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leganes
WWLWD
Real Betis
DLDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 74%
37% +1.5 47%
21% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leganes averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Real Betis averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
28%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2025 Leganes 2 - 3 Real Betis Away
Sep 2024 Leganes(A) 0 - 2 Real Betis Away
Feb 2020 Leganes 0 - 0 Real Betis Draw
Aug 2019 Leganes(A) 1 - 2 Real Betis Away

In the last 4 meetings, Leganes won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Leganes — unbeaten run (home)3
Leganes — scoring streak (home)3
Real Betis — winless run (away)2
Real Betis — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leganes Win (1)35%
Draw (X)28%
Real Betis Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 74%
37% +1.5 47%
21% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 26%
63% -1.5 53%
79% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Leganes vs Real Betis — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leganes — scored (home)1.21
Leganes — conceded (home)1.42
Real Betis — scored (away)1.32
Real Betis — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Leganes — BTTS matches (home)37%
Real Betis — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leganes (home)

Corners for2.7
Corners against5.5

Real Betis (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leganes
10 11 9 11 7
Real Betis
10 13 17 11 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Leganes (home)

For1.9

Real Betis (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Leganes — total shots (home)8.9
Real Betis — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Leganes — on target (home)2.9
Real Betis — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leganes

Inside the box5.03
Outside the box4.24

Real Betis

Inside the box8.92
Outside the box4.97

Player Shots Leganes

Jorge Sáenz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target4%
Dani Raba
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
Miguel de la Fuente
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%
V. Rosier
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target3%
Javi Hernández
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Real Betis

G. Lo Celso
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target28%
Vitor Roque
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Ávila
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Antony
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target24%
A. Ezzalzouli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leganes xG (home)0.95
Real Betis xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

42.42% Possession 52.53%

Team Comparison Leganes vs Real Betis

76% Pass accuracy 82.97%
354.42 Passes per match 464.34
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.03
13.24 Fouls committed 11.39
3.32 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
2.21 Offsides 1.56
16.66 Tackles per match 17.18

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leganes vs Real Betis prediction analysis

Review Leganes vs Real Betis with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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