What markets are included in the Leganes vs Sevilla prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Leganes vs Sevilla prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Leganes vs Sevilla

Leganes vs Sevilla prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-11-09 20:00

Leganes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

41%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Sevilla

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

28%

Under 2.5

59%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Leganes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate37%

Sevilla (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leganes

WWLWD

Sevilla

LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 42%

21% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leganes averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Sevilla averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

41%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Leganes(A) 2 - 2 Sevilla Draw

Nov 2024 Leganes 1 - 0 Sevilla Home

Jan 2021 Leganes 0 - 1 Sevilla Away

Jun 2020 Leganes 0 - 3 Sevilla Away

Dec 2019 Leganes(A) 0 - 1 Sevilla Away

In the last 5 meetings, Leganes won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Leganes — unbeaten run (home)3

Leganes — scoring streak (home)3

Sevilla — winless run (away)5

Sevilla — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leganes Win (1)45%

Draw (X)28%

Sevilla Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 42%

21% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 26%

63% -1.5 58%

79% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Leganes vs Sevilla — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leganes — scored (home)1.21

Leganes — conceded (home)1.42

Sevilla — scored (away)1.32

Sevilla — conceded (away)1.68

Model expected combined goals2.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Leganes — BTTS matches (home)37%

Sevilla — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leganes (home)

Corners for2.7

Corners against5.5

Sevilla (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leganes

10 11 9 11 7

Sevilla

10 9 6 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Leganes (home)

For1.9

Sevilla (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Leganes — total shots (home)8.9

Sevilla — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Leganes — on target (home)2.9

Sevilla — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leganes

Inside the box5.03

Outside the box4.24

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45

Outside the box5.05

Player Shots Leganes

Jorge Sáenz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

Dani Raba

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target17%

Miguel de la Fuente

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target6%

V. Rosier

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

Javi Hernández

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Jesús Navas

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Kike Salas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Lukebakio

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target26%

Juanlu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leganes xG (home)0.95

Sevilla xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

42.42% Possession 50.58%

Team Comparison Leganes vs Sevilla

76% Pass accuracy 81.82%

354.42 Passes per match 432.63

-0.01 Goals prevented -0.07

13.24 Fouls committed 13

3.32 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

2.21 Offsides 2.06

16.66 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leganes vs Sevilla prediction analysis

Review Leganes vs Sevilla with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights