What markets are included in the Leganes vs Valladolid prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Leganes vs Valladolid prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Leganes vs Valladolid

Leganes vs Valladolid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-24 16:30

Leganes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

63%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

Valladolid

Away

Prediction Summary

58%

21%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Leganes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate37%

Valladolid (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79

Goals conceded / match3.05

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leganes

WWLWD

Valladolid

LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 63%

37% +1.5 11%

21% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leganes averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Valladolid averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

58%

Draw

21%

Away Win

21%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Leganes(A) 2 - 3 Valladolid Away

Jan 2026 Leganes 3 - 0 Valladolid Home

May 2025 Leganes 3 - 0 Valladolid Home

Aug 2024 Leganes(A) 0 - 0 Valladolid Draw

Feb 2024 Leganes 0 - 0 Valladolid Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Leganes won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Leganes — unbeaten run (home)3

Leganes — scoring streak (home)3

Valladolid — winless run (away)14

Valladolid — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leganes Win (1)58%

Draw (X)21%

Valladolid Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 63%

37% +1.5 11%

21% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 37%

63% -1.5 89%

79% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Leganes vs Valladolid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leganes — scored (home)1.21

Leganes — conceded (home)1.42

Valladolid — scored (away)0.79

Valladolid — conceded (away)3.05

Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

Leganes — BTTS matches (home)37%

Valladolid — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leganes (home)

Corners for2.7

Corners against5.5

Valladolid (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leganes

10 11 9 11 7

Valladolid

12 15 10 14 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Leganes (home)

For1.9

Valladolid (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Leganes — total shots (home)8.9

Valladolid — total shots (away)8.1

Shots on Target

Leganes — on target (home)2.9

Valladolid — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leganes

Inside the box5.03

Outside the box4.24

Valladolid

Inside the box5.66

Outside the box3.18

Player Shots Leganes

Jorge Sáenz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

Dani Raba

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target17%

Miguel de la Fuente

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target6%

V. Rosier

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

Javi Hernández

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target11%

Chuky San José

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

S. Amallah

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target8%

Mario Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target10%

Kike Pérez

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leganes xG (home)0.95

Valladolid xG (away)0.91

Average Possession

42.42% Possession 42.63%

Team Comparison Leganes vs Valladolid

76% Pass accuracy 79.47%

354.42 Passes per match 364.5

-0.01 Goals prevented -0.4

13.24 Fouls committed 12.05

3.32 Goalkeeper saves 3.05

2.21 Offsides 1.76

16.66 Tackles per match 15.89

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leganes vs Valladolid prediction analysis

Review Leganes vs Valladolid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights