What markets are included in the Leicester vs Chelsea prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Leicester vs Chelsea prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Leicester vs Chelsea

Leicester vs Chelsea prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2024-11-23 12:30

Leicester

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Chelsea

Away

Prediction Summary

19%

22%

58%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Leicester (Home)

Goals scored / match0.79

Goals conceded / match1.79

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate37%

Chelsea (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leicester

LWDWL

Chelsea

WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 68%

21% +1.5 32%

5% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 16%

0% +4.5 11%

37% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leicester averages 0.79 goals scored at home, while Chelsea averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

19%

Draw

22%

Away Win

58%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2025 Leicester(A) 0 - 1 Chelsea Away

Nov 2024 Leicester 1 - 2 Chelsea Away

Mar 2024 Leicester(A) 2 - 4 Chelsea Away

Mar 2023 Leicester 1 - 3 Chelsea Away

Aug 2022 Leicester(A) 1 - 2 Chelsea Away

In the last 5 meetings, Leicester won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Leicester — unbeaten run (home)2

Leicester — scoring streak (home)2

Chelsea — winless run (away)0

Chelsea — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leicester Win (1)19%

Draw (X)22%

Chelsea Win (2)58%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 68%

21% +1.5 32%

5% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 16%

0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 32%

79% -1.5 68%

95% -2.5 79%

100% -3.5 84%

100% -4.5 89%

Leicester vs Chelsea — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leicester — scored (home)0.79

Leicester — conceded (home)1.79

Chelsea — scored (away)1.53

Chelsea — conceded (away)1.32

Model expected combined goals2.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

Leicester — BTTS matches (home)37%

Chelsea — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leicester (home)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.7

Chelsea (away)

Corners for5.8

Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leicester

6 13 8 4 7

Chelsea

12 9 10 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Leicester (home)

For2.3

Chelsea (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Leicester — total shots (home)9.3

Chelsea — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Leicester — on target (home)2.9

Chelsea — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leicester

Inside the box5.97

Outside the box2.84

Chelsea

Inside the box10.37

Outside the box5.29

Player Shots Leicester

F. Buonanotte

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target13%

J. Justin

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Vardy

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Daka

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. McAteer

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Chelsea

N. Madueke

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

C. Palmer

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target81%

+1.5 On Target30%

N. Jackson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target33%

T. Chalobah

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target8%

Pedro Neto

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leicester xG (home)0.86

Chelsea xG (away)1.82

Average Possession

45.37% Possession 57.18%

Team Comparison Leicester vs Chelsea

80.79% Pass accuracy 86.29%

419.82 Passes per match 520.5

-0.07 Goals prevented 0.11

11.05 Fouls committed 11.47

3.55 Goalkeeper saves 3.03

1.7 Offsides 1.76

19.16 Tackles per match 15.39

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leicester vs Chelsea prediction analysis

Review Leicester vs Chelsea with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights