Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Leicester vs Coventry

Leicester vs Coventry prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-09-20 11:30
Leicester
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Coventry
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
24%
2
49%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Leicester (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate70%

Coventry (Away)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leicester
WDDLL
Coventry
WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 87%
48% +1.5 57%
9% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 22%
0% +4.5 9%
70% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leicester averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Coventry averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
24%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 Leicester(A) 1 - 2 Coventry Away
Sep 2025 Leicester 0 - 0 Coventry Draw
Jan 2024 Leicester(A) 1 - 3 Coventry Away
Aug 2023 Leicester 2 - 1 Coventry Home

In the last 4 meetings, Leicester won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Leicester — unbeaten run (home)2
Leicester — scoring streak (home)2
Coventry — winless run (away)0
Coventry — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leicester Win (1)27%
Draw (X)24%
Coventry Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 87%
48% +1.5 57%
9% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 22%
0% +4.5 9%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 13%
52% -1.5 43%
91% -2.5 74%
100% -3.5 78%
100% -4.5 91%

Leicester vs Coventry — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leicester — scored (home)1.35
Leicester — conceded (home)1.48
Coventry — scored (away)2
Coventry — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals2.98

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Leicester — BTTS matches (home)70%
Coventry — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.572%
Under 8.528%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leicester (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against5.5

Coventry (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leicester
14 12 17 14 20
Coventry
9 6 3 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Leicester (home)

For1.7

Coventry (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Leicester — total shots (home)13.8
Coventry — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Leicester — on target (home)4.0
Coventry — on target (away)5.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leicester

Inside the box7.57
Outside the box5.28

Coventry

Inside the box11.46
Outside the box4.85

Player Shots Leicester

A. Ramsey
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Fatawu
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. James
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
P. Daka
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
D. Mukasa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Coventry

H. Wright
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Thomas-Asante
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
E. Simms
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Mason-Clark
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leicester xG (home)1.18
Coventry xG (away)1.86

Average Possession

51.87% Possession 55.26%

Team Comparison Leicester vs Coventry

80.17% Pass accuracy 80.43%
427.22 Passes per match 438.33
-0.08 Goals prevented -0.05
10.76 Fouls committed 9.41
2.69 Goalkeeper saves 2.7
1.55 Offsides 2.37
15.85 Tackles per match 13.76

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leicester vs Coventry prediction analysis

Review Leicester vs Coventry with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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