What markets are included in the Leicester vs Liverpool prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Leicester vs Liverpool prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Leicester vs Liverpool

Leicester vs Liverpool prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-04-20 15:30

Leicester

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

62%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-2

Liverpool

Away

Prediction Summary

14%

18%

68%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Leicester (Home)

Goals scored / match0.79

Goals conceded / match1.79

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate37%

Liverpool (Away)

Goals scored / match2.32

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leicester

LWDWL

Liverpool

DLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 100%

21% +1.5 79%

5% +2.5 26%

0% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 11%

37% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leicester averages 0.79 goals scored at home, while Liverpool averages 2.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

14%

Draw

18%

Away Win

68%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Leicester 0 - 1 Liverpool Away

Dec 2024 Leicester(A) 1 - 3 Liverpool Away

Sep 2023 Leicester(A) 1 - 3 Liverpool Away

May 2023 Leicester 0 - 3 Liverpool Away

Dec 2022 Leicester(A) 1 - 2 Liverpool Away

In the last 5 meetings, Leicester won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Leicester — unbeaten run (home)2

Leicester — scoring streak (home)2

Liverpool — winless run (away)2

Liverpool — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leicester Win (1)14%

Draw (X)18%

Liverpool Win (2)68%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 100%

21% +1.5 79%

5% +2.5 26%

0% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 0%

79% -1.5 21%

95% -2.5 74%

100% -3.5 89%

100% -4.5 89%

Leicester vs Liverpool — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leicester — scored (home)0.79

Leicester — conceded (home)1.79

Liverpool — scored (away)2.32

Liverpool — conceded (away)1.32

Model expected combined goals3.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Leicester — BTTS matches (home)37%

Liverpool — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.548%

Under 10.552%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leicester (home)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.7

Liverpool (away)

Corners for6.8

Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leicester

6 13 8 4 7

Liverpool

10 9 4 6 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%

Under 0.58%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Leicester (home)

For2.3

Liverpool (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Leicester — total shots (home)9.3

Liverpool — total shots (away)17.6

Shots on Target

Leicester — on target (home)2.9

Liverpool — on target (away)6.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leicester

Inside the box5.97

Outside the box2.84

Liverpool

Inside the box12.63

Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Leicester

F. Buonanotte

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target13%

J. Justin

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Vardy

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Daka

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. McAteer

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Liverpool

J. Gomez

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target11%

Mohamed Salah

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target87%

+1.5 On Target47%

L. Díaz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target22%

D. Núñez

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Robertson

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leicester xG (home)0.86

Liverpool xG (away)2.19

Average Possession

45.37% Possession 57.95%

Team Comparison Leicester vs Liverpool

80.79% Pass accuracy 85.95%

419.82 Passes per match 528.89

-0.07 Goals prevented -0.08

11.05 Fouls committed 11.32

3.55 Goalkeeper saves 2.79

1.7 Offsides 1.58

19.16 Tackles per match 17.05

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leicester vs Liverpool prediction analysis

Review Leicester vs Liverpool with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights