Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Leicester vs Sheffield Utd

Leicester vs Sheffield Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Championship 2025-11-29 12:30
Leicester
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sheffield Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
27%
2
27%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Leicester (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate70%

Sheffield Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leicester
WDDLL
Sheffield Utd
WLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 65%
48% +1.5 39%
9% +2.5 17%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
70% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leicester averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Sheffield Utd averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
27%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Leicester(A) 1 - 3 Sheffield Utd Away
Nov 2025 Leicester 2 - 3 Sheffield Utd Away
Mar 2021 Leicester 5 - 0 Sheffield Utd Home
Dec 2020 Leicester(A) 2 - 1 Sheffield Utd Home
Jul 2020 Leicester 2 - 0 Sheffield Utd Home

In the last 5 meetings, Leicester won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Leicester — unbeaten run (home)2
Leicester — scoring streak (home)2
Sheffield Utd — winless run (away)0
Sheffield Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leicester Win (1)46%
Draw (X)27%
Sheffield Utd Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 65%
48% +1.5 39%
9% +2.5 17%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 35%
52% -1.5 61%
91% -2.5 83%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Leicester vs Sheffield Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leicester — scored (home)1.35
Leicester — conceded (home)1.48
Sheffield Utd — scored (away)1.22
Sheffield Utd — conceded (away)1.43
Model expected combined goals2.39

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Leicester — BTTS matches (home)70%
Sheffield Utd — BTTS matches (away)43%
Combined (simple average)56.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.596%
Under 6.54%
Over 7.592%
Under 7.58%
Over 8.576%
Under 8.524%
Over 9.570%
Under 9.530%
Over 10.561%
Under 10.539%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leicester (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against5.5

Sheffield Utd (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leicester
14 12 17 14 20
Sheffield Utd
19 13 6 15 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Leicester (home)

For1.7

Sheffield Utd (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Leicester — total shots (home)13.8
Sheffield Utd — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Leicester — on target (home)4.0
Sheffield Utd — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leicester

Inside the box7.57
Outside the box5.28

Sheffield Utd

Inside the box9.07
Outside the box4.33

Player Shots Leicester

A. Ramsey
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Fatawu
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. James
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
P. Daka
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
D. Mukasa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Sheffield Utd

P. Bamford
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target25%
G. Hamer
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. O'Hare
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Cannon
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Brooks
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leicester xG (home)1.18
Sheffield Utd xG (away)1.57

Average Possession

51.87% Possession 52.33%

Team Comparison Leicester vs Sheffield Utd

80.17% Pass accuracy 76.57%
427.22 Passes per match 415.35
-0.08 Goals prevented -0.12
10.76 Fouls committed 10.59
2.69 Goalkeeper saves 2.76
1.55 Offsides 2.04
15.85 Tackles per match 15.43

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leicester vs Sheffield Utd prediction analysis

Review Leicester vs Sheffield Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top