Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Leicester vs West Brom

Leicester vs West Brom prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-01-05 20:00
Leicester
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
West Brom
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
25%
2
26%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Leicester (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate70%

West Brom (Away)

Goals scored / match0.87
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leicester
WDDLL
West Brom
LDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 65%
48% +1.5 17%
9% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
70% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Leicester averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while West Brom averages 0.87 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
25%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Leicester 2 - 1 West Brom Home
Sep 2025 Leicester(A) 1 - 1 West Brom Draw
Apr 2024 Leicester 2 - 1 West Brom Home
Dec 2023 Leicester(A) 2 - 1 West Brom Home
Apr 2021 Leicester 3 - 0 West Brom Home

In the last 5 meetings, Leicester won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Leicester — unbeaten run (home)2
Leicester — scoring streak (home)2
West Brom — winless run (away)1
West Brom — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leicester Win (1)49%
Draw (X)25%
West Brom Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 65%
48% +1.5 17%
9% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 35%
52% -1.5 83%
91% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Leicester vs West Brom — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leicester — scored (home)1.35
Leicester — conceded (home)1.48
West Brom — scored (away)0.87
West Brom — conceded (away)1.43
Model expected combined goals2.6

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Leicester — BTTS matches (home)70%
West Brom — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.581%
Under 7.519%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leicester (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against5.5

West Brom (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leicester
14 12 17 14 20
West Brom
12 14 7 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Leicester (home)

For1.7

West Brom (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Leicester — total shots (home)13.8
West Brom — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Leicester — on target (home)4.0
West Brom — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leicester

Inside the box7.57
Outside the box5.28

West Brom

Inside the box8.78
Outside the box4.63

Player Shots Leicester

A. Ramsey
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Fatawu
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. James
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
P. Daka
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
D. Mukasa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots West Brom

I. Price
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Heggebø
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Ahearne-Grant
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
N. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leicester xG (home)1.18
West Brom xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

51.87% Possession 51.65%

Team Comparison Leicester vs West Brom

80.17% Pass accuracy 80.35%
427.22 Passes per match 449.07
-0.08 Goals prevented -0.03
10.76 Fouls committed 10.24
2.69 Goalkeeper saves 2
1.55 Offsides 1.79
15.85 Tackles per match 14.2

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leicester vs West Brom prediction analysis

Review Leicester vs West Brom with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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