Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Leicester vs Wolves

Leicester vs Wolves prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2024-12-22 14:00
Leicester
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
67%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Wolves
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
22%
2
30%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Leicester (Home)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%

Wolves (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leicester
LWDWL
Wolves
DLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 79%
21% +1.5 42%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leicester averages 0.79 goals scored at home, while Wolves averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
22%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
66%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Leicester(A) 0 - 3 Wolves Away
Dec 2024 Leicester 0 - 3 Wolves Away
Apr 2023 Leicester 2 - 1 Wolves Home
Oct 2022 Leicester(A) 4 - 0 Wolves Home
Feb 2022 Leicester(A) 1 - 2 Wolves Away

In the last 5 meetings, Leicester won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Leicester — unbeaten run (home)2
Leicester — scoring streak (home)2
Wolves — winless run (away)2
Wolves — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leicester Win (1)48%
Draw (X)22%
Wolves Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 79%
21% +1.5 42%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 21%
79% -1.5 58%
95% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Leicester vs Wolves — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leicester — scored (home)0.79
Leicester — conceded (home)1.79
Wolves — scored (away)1.42
Wolves — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals3.44

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%
No34%

Rate per Team

Leicester — BTTS matches (home)37%
Wolves — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leicester (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.7

Wolves (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leicester
6 13 8 4 7
Wolves
6 9 11 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Leicester (home)

For2.3

Wolves (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Leicester — total shots (home)9.3
Wolves — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Leicester — on target (home)2.9
Wolves — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leicester

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box2.84

Wolves

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Leicester

F. Buonanotte
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Justin
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Vardy
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Daka
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%
K. McAteer
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Wolves

Matheus Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target39%
S. Bueno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Toti Gomes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Strand Larsen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target26%
M. Lemina
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leicester xG (home)0.86
Wolves xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

45.37% Possession 48.08%

Team Comparison Leicester vs Wolves

80.79% Pass accuracy 82.05%
419.82 Passes per match 431.18
-0.07 Goals prevented -0.3
11.05 Fouls committed 12.63
3.55 Goalkeeper saves 2.68
1.7 Offsides 1.68
19.16 Tackles per match 21.13

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leicester vs Wolves prediction analysis

Review Leicester vs Wolves with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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