Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Leicester vs Wrexham

Leicester vs Wrexham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-09-30 18:45
Leicester
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Wrexham
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
27%
2
33%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Leicester (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate70%

Wrexham (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leicester
WDDLL
Wrexham
DLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 78%
48% +1.5 35%
9% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
70% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Leicester averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Wrexham averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
27%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2026 Leicester(A) 1 - 1 Wrexham Draw
Sep 2025 Leicester 1 - 1 Wrexham Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Leicester won 0, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Leicester — unbeaten run (home)2
Leicester — scoring streak (home)2
Wrexham — winless run (away)1
Wrexham — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leicester Win (1)41%
Draw (X)27%
Wrexham Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 78%
48% +1.5 35%
9% +2.5 9%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 22%
52% -1.5 65%
91% -2.5 91%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Leicester vs Wrexham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leicester — scored (home)1.35
Leicester — conceded (home)1.48
Wrexham — scored (away)1.22
Wrexham — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Leicester — BTTS matches (home)70%
Wrexham — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.587%
Under 7.513%
Over 8.572%
Under 8.528%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leicester (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against5.5

Wrexham (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leicester
14 12 17 14 20
Wrexham
9 8 14 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Leicester (home)

For1.7

Wrexham (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Leicester — total shots (home)13.8
Wrexham — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Leicester — on target (home)4.0
Wrexham — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leicester

Inside the box7.57
Outside the box5.28

Wrexham

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.8

Player Shots Leicester

A. Ramsey
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Fatawu
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. James
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
P. Daka
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
D. Mukasa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Wrexham

K. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target18%
J. Windass
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Rathbone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
R. Hardie
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leicester xG (home)1.18
Wrexham xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

51.87% Possession 48.2%

Team Comparison Leicester vs Wrexham

80.17% Pass accuracy 77.48%
427.22 Passes per match 412.91
-0.08 Goals prevented -0.12
10.76 Fouls committed 9.93
2.69 Goalkeeper saves 3.04
1.55 Offsides 2.14
15.85 Tackles per match 15.37

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leicester vs Wrexham prediction analysis

Review Leicester vs Wrexham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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