What markets are included in the Leixoes vs Tondela prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Leixoes vs Tondela prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Leixoes vs Tondela

Leixoes vs Tondela prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda Liga 2026-08-16 14:30

Leixoes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Tondela

Away

Prediction Summary

29%

24%

47%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Leixoes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1.88

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate53%

Tondela (Away)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match0

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leixoes

WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 0%

47% +1.5 0%

18% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leixoes averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Tondela averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

29%

Draw

24%

Away Win

47%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2025 Leixoes 0 - 1 Tondela Away

Oct 2024 Leixoes(A) 1 - 2 Tondela Away

Mar 2024 Leixoes 1 - 1 Tondela Draw

Oct 2023 Leixoes(A) 2 - 4 Tondela Away

Apr 2023 Leixoes(A) 3 - 2 Tondela Home

In the last 5 meetings, Leixoes won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Leixoes — unbeaten run (home)4

Leixoes — scoring streak (home)7

1X2 Probability model

Leixoes Win (1)29%

Draw (X)24%

Tondela Win (2)47%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 0%

47% +1.5 0%

18% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 100%

53% -1.5 100%

82% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Leixoes vs Tondela — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leixoes — scored (home)1.41

Leixoes — conceded (home)1.88

Tondela — scored (away)0

Tondela — conceded (away)0

Model expected combined goals2.87

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Leixoes — BTTS matches (home)53%

Tondela — BTTS matches (away)0%

Combined (simple average)26.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.551%

Under 9.549%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leixoes (home)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.2

Tondela (away)

Corners forâ€”

Corners againstâ€”

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Leixoes

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%

Under 0.550%

Over 1.550%

Under 1.550%

Over 2.544%

Under 2.556%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Leixoes (home)

For2.7

Tondela (away)

Forâ€”

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.542%

Under 19.558%

Over 22.533%

Under 22.567%

Over 25.525%

Under 25.575%

Expected total shots19.38

Leixoes

Shots Over 9.549%

Shots Over 11.537%

Shots Over 13.527%

Expected shots10.56

On Target Over 3.551%

On Target Over 4.535%

On Target Over 5.522%

Expected on target3.87

Tondela

Shots Over 9.538%

Shots Over 11.527%

Shots Over 13.518%

Expected shots8.82

On Target Over 3.540%

On Target Over 4.525%

On Target Over 5.514%

Expected on target3.26

Shots per Game

Leixoes — total shots (home)15.2

Tondela — total shots (away)â€”

Shots on Target

Leixoes — on target (home)5.8

Tondela — on target (away)â€”

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leixoes

Inside the box8.82

Outside the box5

Tondela

Inside the box-

Outside the box-

Player Shots Leixoes

S. Commey

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

B. Rochez

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Bica

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target50%

Simãozinho

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target0%

Cláudio Vítor Rodrigues Araújo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Tondela

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Leixoes xG (home)0

Tondela xG (away)-

Average Possession

50% Possession -%

Team Comparison Leixoes vs Tondela

71.7% Pass accuracy 0%

355.82 Passes per match -

0 Goals prevented -

15.09 Fouls committed -

2.45 Goalkeeper saves -

2.6 Offsides -

16.75 Tackles per match -

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leixoes vs Tondela prediction and preview

Preview Leixoes vs Tondela with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights