What markets are included in the Lens vs Auxerre prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lens vs Auxerre prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lens vs Auxerre

Lens vs Auxerre prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Ligue 1 2026-08-22 15:00

Lens

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Auxerre

Away

Prediction Summary

60%

23%

17%

+2.5 Goals

50%

BTTS

48%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lens (Home)

Goals scored / match2.06

Goals conceded / match0.76

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate41%

Auxerre (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.59

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lens

WLWDD

Auxerre

WWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 53%

65% +1.5 35%

41% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

41% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lens averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while Auxerre averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

60%

Draw

23%

Away Win

17%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Lens 1 - 0 Auxerre Home

Oct 2025 Lens(A) 2 - 1 Auxerre Home

Apr 2025 Lens 0 - 4 Auxerre Away

Dec 2024 Lens(A) 2 - 2 Auxerre Draw

Jun 2023 Lens(A) 3 - 1 Auxerre Home

In the last 5 meetings, Lens won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lens — unbeaten run (home)0

Lens — scoring streak (home)0

Auxerre — winless run (away)0

Auxerre — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lens Win (1)60%

Draw (X)23%

Auxerre Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 53%

65% +1.5 35%

41% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 47%

35% -1.5 65%

59% -2.5 94%

94% -3.5 100%

94% -4.5 100%

Lens vs Auxerre — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lens — scored (home)2.06

Lens — conceded (home)0.76

Auxerre — scored (away)0.94

Auxerre — conceded (away)1.59

Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Lens — BTTS matches (home)41%

Auxerre — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lens (home)

Corners for6.8

Corners against4.1

Auxerre (away)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lens

6 15 11 9 28

Auxerre

14 9 10 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Lens (home)

For1.6

Auxerre (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%

Under 19.527%

Over 22.560%

Under 22.540%

Over 25.546%

Under 25.554%

Expected total shots25.57

Lens

Shots Over 9.583%

Shots Over 11.571%

Shots Over 13.557%

Expected shots15.16

On Target Over 3.574%

On Target Over 4.559%

On Target Over 5.544%

Expected on target5.43

Auxerre

Shots Over 9.554%

Shots Over 11.537%

Shots Over 13.523%

Expected shots10.41

On Target Over 3.546%

On Target Over 4.529%

On Target Over 5.517%

Expected on target3.54

Shots per Game

Lens — total shots (home)18.2

Auxerre — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Lens — on target (home)6.4

Auxerre — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lens

Inside the box11.47

Outside the box4.97

Auxerre

Inside the box6.94

Outside the box3.76

Player Shots Lens

O. Édouard

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target34%

W. Saïd

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target31%

F. Thauvin

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Udol

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

M. Sangaré

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Auxerre

L. Sinayoko

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target28%

D. Namaso

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Mara

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target7%

I. Osman

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target0%

J. Casimir

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lens xG (home)1.99

Auxerre xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

51.12% Possession 43.91%

Team Comparison Lens vs Auxerre

84.24% Pass accuracy 79.62%

463.53 Passes per match 372.85

0.17 Goals prevented 0.08

12.71 Fouls committed 13.74

2.48 Goalkeeper saves 3.29

2.23 Offsides 1.45

18.74 Tackles per match 18.09

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lens vs Auxerre prediction analysis

Review Lens vs Auxerre with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights