What markets are included in the Lens vs Lille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lens vs Lille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lens vs Lille

Lens vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-09-20 19:05

Lens

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lille

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

25%

28%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lens (Home)

Goals scored / match2.06

Goals conceded / match0.76

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate41%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65

Goals conceded / match1.18

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lens

WLWDD

Lille

LWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 65%

65% +1.5 41%

41% +2.5 24%

6% +3.5 18%

6% +4.5 6%

41% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lens averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

25%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Lens(A) 0 - 3 Lille Away

Sep 2025 Lens 3 - 0 Lille Home

Mar 2025 Lens(A) 0 - 1 Lille Away

Oct 2024 Lens 0 - 2 Lille Away

Mar 2024 Lens(A) 1 - 2 Lille Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lens won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Lens — unbeaten run (home)0

Lens — scoring streak (home)0

Lille — winless run (away)0

Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lens Win (1)47%

Draw (X)25%

Lille Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 65%

65% +1.5 41%

41% +2.5 24%

6% +3.5 18%

6% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 35%

35% -1.5 59%

59% -2.5 76%

94% -3.5 82%

94% -4.5 94%

Lens vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lens — scored (home)2.06

Lens — conceded (home)0.76

Lille — scored (away)1.65

Lille — conceded (away)1.18

Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Lens — BTTS matches (home)41%

Lille — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lens (home)

Corners for6.8

Corners against4.1

Lille (away)

Corners for5.1

Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lens

6 15 11 9 28

Lille

8 10 19 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Lens (home)

For1.6

Lille (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Lens — total shots (home)18.2

Lille — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Lens — on target (home)6.4

Lille — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lens

Inside the box11.47

Outside the box4.97

Lille

Inside the box9.56

Outside the box4.06

Player Shots Lens

O. Édouard

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target34%

W. Saïd

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target31%

F. Thauvin

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Udol

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

M. Sangaré

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Lille

M. Fernandez-Pardo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target31%

H. Igamane

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target15%

O. Giroud

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Haraldsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Diaoune

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lens xG (home)1.99

Lille xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

51.12% Possession 55.85%

Team Comparison Lens vs Lille

84.24% Pass accuracy 85.09%

463.53 Passes per match 496.88

0.17 Goals prevented 0.2

12.71 Fouls committed 10.88

2.48 Goalkeeper saves 2.24

2.23 Offsides 1.47

18.74 Tackles per match 15.15

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lens vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Lens vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights