What markets are included in the Lens vs Lille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lens vs Lille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lens vs Lille

Lens vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Ligue 1 2024-10-26 19:00

Lens

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

10%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Lille

Away

Prediction Summary

22%

44%

33%

Under 2.5

90%

BTTS No

83%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Lens (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate24%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.24

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lens

WDWLW

Lille

WLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 71%

29% +1.5 47%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

24% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 10%. Model confidence is High.

Lens averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength

90%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

22%

Draw

44%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

10%

BTTS Yes

17%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Lens(A) 0 - 3 Lille Away

Sep 2025 Lens 3 - 0 Lille Home

Mar 2025 Lens(A) 0 - 1 Lille Away

Oct 2024 Lens 0 - 2 Lille Away

Mar 2024 Lens(A) 1 - 2 Lille Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lens won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Lens — unbeaten run (home)1

Lens — scoring streak (home)1

Lille — winless run (away)1

Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lens Win (1)22%

Draw (X)44%

Lille Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 71%

29% +1.5 47%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 29%

71% -1.5 53%

82% -2.5 94%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Lens vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lens — scored (home)1.12

Lens — conceded (home)1.29

Lille — scored (away)1.24

Lille — conceded (away)1.06

Model expected combined goals1.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes17%

No83%

Rate per Team

Lens — BTTS matches (home)24%

Lille — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)32.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lens (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against2.6

Lille (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lens

13 9 10 3 9

Lille

12 9 7 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Lens (home)

For2.5

Lille (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Lens — total shots (home)16.3

Lille — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Lens — on target (home)5.2

Lille — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lens

Inside the box9.68

Outside the box4.71

Lille

Inside the box9.03

Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Lens

F. Sotoca

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Koyalipou

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target20%

M'Bala Nzola

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target29%

R. Aguilar

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Chávez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Lille

Tiago Santos

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target29%

J. David

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target31%

C. Akpom

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

O. Sahraoui

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target7%

André Gomes

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lens xG (home)1.57

Lille xG (away)1.64

Average Possession

54.06% Possession 57.94%

Team Comparison Lens vs Lille

83.12% Pass accuracy 86.21%

488.06 Passes per match 541.15

0.39 Goals prevented 0.26

14.68 Fouls committed 12.06

3.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.82

2.8 Offsides 1.5

17.94 Tackles per match 18.41

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lens vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Lens vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights