What markets are included in the Lens vs Lorient prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lens vs Lorient prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lens vs Lorient

Lens vs Lorient prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-05 15:00

Lens

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Lorient

Away

Prediction Summary

59%

23%

18%

+2.5 Goals

50%

BTTS

49%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lens (Home)

Goals scored / match2.06

Goals conceded / match0.76

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate41%

Lorient (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lens

WLWDD

Lorient

LWDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 47%

65% +1.5 29%

41% +2.5 18%

6% +3.5 6%

6% +4.5 0%

41% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lens averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while Lorient averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

59%

Draw

23%

Away Win

18%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Lens(A) 1 - 2 Lorient Away

Nov 2025 Lens 3 - 0 Lorient Home

May 2024 Lens 2 - 0 Lorient Home

Nov 2023 Lens(A) 0 - 0 Lorient Draw

May 2023 Lens(A) 3 - 1 Lorient Home

In the last 5 meetings, Lens won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lens — unbeaten run (home)0

Lens — scoring streak (home)0

Lorient — winless run (away)0

Lorient — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lens Win (1)59%

Draw (X)23%

Lorient Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 47%

65% +1.5 29%

41% +2.5 18%

6% +3.5 6%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 53%

35% -1.5 71%

59% -2.5 82%

94% -3.5 94%

94% -4.5 100%

Lens vs Lorient — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lens — scored (home)2.06

Lens — conceded (home)0.76

Lorient — scored (away)1

Lorient — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Lens — BTTS matches (home)41%

Lorient — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lens (home)

Corners for6.8

Corners against4.1

Lorient (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lens

6 15 11 9 28

Lorient

8 16 14 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.568%

Under 2.532%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Lens (home)

For1.6

Lorient (away)

For1.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%

Under 19.527%

Over 22.560%

Under 22.540%

Over 25.546%

Under 25.554%

Expected total shots25.51

Lens

Shots Over 9.582%

Shots Over 11.570%

Shots Over 13.556%

Expected shots14.92

On Target Over 3.571%

On Target Over 4.555%

On Target Over 5.541%

Expected on target5.17

Lorient

Shots Over 9.556%

Shots Over 11.538%

Shots Over 13.524%

Expected shots10.59

On Target Over 3.546%

On Target Over 4.530%

On Target Over 5.518%

Expected on target3.58

Shots per Game

Lens — total shots (home)18.2

Lorient — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Lens — on target (home)6.4

Lorient — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lens

Inside the box11.47

Outside the box4.97

Lorient

Inside the box7.12

Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Lens

O. Édouard

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target34%

W. Saïd

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target31%

F. Thauvin

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Udol

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

M. Sangaré

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Lorient

B. Dieng

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target32%

P. Pagis

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target11%

J. Makengo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

A. Tosin

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

M. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lens xG (home)1.99

Lorient xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

51.12% Possession 45.35%

Team Comparison Lens vs Lorient

84.24% Pass accuracy 83.94%

463.53 Passes per match 427.03

0.17 Goals prevented -0.3

12.71 Fouls committed 9.59

2.48 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

2.23 Offsides 1.72

18.74 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lens vs Lorient prediction analysis

Review Lens vs Lorient with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights