What markets are included in the Lens vs Monaco prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lens vs Monaco prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lens vs Monaco

Lens vs Monaco prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-05-17 19:00

Lens

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Monaco

Away

Prediction Summary

29%

26%

45%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Lens (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate24%

Monaco (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lens

WDWLW

Monaco

LWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 88%

29% +1.5 41%

18% +2.5 18%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

24% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Lens averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Monaco averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

29%

Draw

26%

Away Win

45%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Lens 2 - 3 Monaco Away

Nov 2025 Lens(A) 4 - 1 Monaco Home

May 2025 Lens 4 - 0 Monaco Home

Sep 2024 Lens(A) 1 - 1 Monaco Draw

Feb 2024 Lens 2 - 3 Monaco Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lens won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Lens — unbeaten run (home)1

Lens — scoring streak (home)1

Monaco — winless run (away)1

Monaco — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lens Win (1)29%

Draw (X)26%

Monaco Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 88%

29% +1.5 41%

18% +2.5 18%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 12%

71% -1.5 59%

82% -2.5 82%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Lens vs Monaco — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lens — scored (home)1.12

Lens — conceded (home)1.29

Monaco — scored (away)1.47

Monaco — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Lens — BTTS matches (home)24%

Monaco — BTTS matches (away)71%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lens (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against2.6

Monaco (away)

Corners for6.1

Corners against3.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lens

13 9 10 3 9

Monaco

5 9 11 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.582%

Under 1.518%

Over 2.568%

Under 2.532%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Lens (home)

For2.5

Monaco (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Lens — total shots (home)16.3

Monaco — total shots (away)13.9

Shots on Target

Lens — on target (home)5.2

Monaco — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lens

Inside the box9.68

Outside the box4.71

Monaco

Inside the box10.68

Outside the box4.03

Player Shots Lens

F. Sotoca

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Koyalipou

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target20%

M'Bala Nzola

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target29%

R. Aguilar

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Chávez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Monaco

M. Biereth

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target50%

E. Ben Seghir

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target24%

G. Ilenikhena

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target9%

M. Akliouche

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

S. Magassa

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lens xG (home)1.57

Monaco xG (away)2.19

Average Possession

54.06% Possession 55.03%

Team Comparison Lens vs Monaco

83.12% Pass accuracy 82.82%

488.06 Passes per match 485.82

0.39 Goals prevented -0.13

14.68 Fouls committed 13.59

3.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.62

2.8 Offsides 2.09

17.94 Tackles per match 19.71

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lens vs Monaco prediction analysis

Review Lens vs Monaco with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights