What markets are included in the Lens vs Montpellier prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lens vs Montpellier prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lens vs Montpellier

Lens vs Montpellier prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Ligue 1 2024-12-08 14:00

Lens

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

52%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Montpellier

Away

Prediction Summary

63%

21%

16%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lens (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate24%

Montpellier (Away)

Goals scored / match0.35

Goals conceded / match2.24

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate24%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lens

WDWLW

Montpellier

LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 24%

29% +1.5 12%

18% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

24% BTTS 24%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lens averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Montpellier averages 0.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

63%

Draw

21%

Away Win

16%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2025 Lens(A) 2 - 0 Montpellier Home

Dec 2024 Lens 2 - 0 Montpellier Home

May 2024 Lens 2 - 2 Montpellier Draw

Dec 2023 Lens(A) 0 - 0 Montpellier Draw

Feb 2023 Lens(A) 1 - 1 Montpellier Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Lens won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lens — unbeaten run (home)1

Lens — scoring streak (home)1

Montpellier — winless run (away)8

Montpellier — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lens Win (1)63%

Draw (X)21%

Montpellier Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 24%

29% +1.5 12%

18% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 76%

71% -1.5 88%

82% -2.5 100%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Lens vs Montpellier — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lens — scored (home)1.12

Lens — conceded (home)1.29

Montpellier — scored (away)0.35

Montpellier — conceded (away)2.24

Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Lens — BTTS matches (home)24%

Montpellier — BTTS matches (away)24%

Combined (simple average)24%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.597%

Under 6.53%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lens (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against2.6

Montpellier (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lens

13 9 10 3 9

Montpellier

9 10 10 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Lens (home)

For2.5

Montpellier (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Lens — total shots (home)16.3

Montpellier — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Lens — on target (home)5.2

Montpellier — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lens

Inside the box9.68

Outside the box4.71

Montpellier

Inside the box6.24

Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Lens

F. Sotoca

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Koyalipou

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target20%

M'Bala Nzola

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target29%

R. Aguilar

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Chávez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Montpellier

A. Delort

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target20%

O. Maamma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Nordin

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target25%

T. Savanier

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lens xG (home)1.57

Montpellier xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

54.06% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison Lens vs Montpellier

83.12% Pass accuracy 80.53%

488.06 Passes per match 388.79

0.39 Goals prevented -0.1

14.68 Fouls committed 12.56

3.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.5

2.8 Offsides 2.1

17.94 Tackles per match 19

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lens vs Montpellier prediction analysis

Review Lens vs Montpellier with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights