What markets are included in the Lens vs Nantes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lens vs Nantes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lens vs Nantes

Lens vs Nantes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2024-11-09 18:00

Lens

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

24%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Nantes

Away

Prediction Summary

39%

34%

28%

Under 2.5

76%

BTTS No

68%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Lens (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate24%

Nantes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate82%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lens

WDWLW

Nantes

WDLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 82%

29% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

24% BTTS 82%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 24%. Model confidence is High.

Lens averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Nantes averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength

76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

39%

Draw

34%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

24%

BTTS Yes

32%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Lens 1 - 0 Nantes Home

Dec 2025 Lens(A) 2 - 1 Nantes Home

Feb 2025 Lens(A) 1 - 3 Nantes Away

Nov 2024 Lens 3 - 2 Nantes Home

Feb 2024 Lens(A) 1 - 0 Nantes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Lens won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lens — unbeaten run (home)1

Lens — scoring streak (home)1

Nantes — winless run (away)2

Nantes — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lens Win (1)39%

Draw (X)34%

Nantes Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 82%

29% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 18%

71% -1.5 71%

82% -2.5 94%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Lens vs Nantes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lens — scored (home)1.12

Lens — conceded (home)1.29

Nantes — scored (away)1.18

Nantes — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals1.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes32%

No68%

Rate per Team

Lens — BTTS matches (home)24%

Nantes — BTTS matches (away)82%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.568%

Under 8.532%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.536%

Under 10.564%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lens (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against2.6

Nantes (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lens

13 9 10 3 9

Nantes

8 8 10 10 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Lens (home)

For2.5

Nantes (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Lens — total shots (home)16.3

Nantes — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Lens — on target (home)5.2

Nantes — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lens

Inside the box9.68

Outside the box4.71

Nantes

Inside the box7.62

Outside the box2.68

Player Shots Lens

F. Sotoca

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Koyalipou

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target20%

M'Bala Nzola

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target29%

R. Aguilar

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Chávez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Nantes

Mostafa Mohamed

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target13%

M. Abline

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target18%

Bahereba Guirassy

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target5%

Louis Leroux

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target6%

Douglas Augusto

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lens xG (home)1.57

Nantes xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

54.06% Possession 39.97%

Team Comparison Lens vs Nantes

83.12% Pass accuracy 79.53%

488.06 Passes per match 367.76

0.39 Goals prevented 0.06

14.68 Fouls committed 12.12

3.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.94

2.8 Offsides 1.11

17.94 Tackles per match 18.91

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lens vs Nantes prediction analysis

Review Lens vs Nantes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights