What markets are included in the Lens vs Saint Etienne prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lens vs Saint Etienne prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lens vs Saint Etienne

Lens vs Saint Etienne prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Ligue 1 2025-04-06 13:00

Lens

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Saint Etienne

Away

Prediction Summary

59%

22%

20%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lens (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate24%

Saint Etienne (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88

Goals conceded / match2.59

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lens

WDWLW

Saint Etienne

LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 65%

29% +1.5 24%

18% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

24% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lens averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Saint Etienne averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

59%

Draw

22%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Lens 1 - 0 Saint Etienne Home

Oct 2024 Lens(A) 2 - 0 Saint Etienne Home

Jan 2022 Lens(A) 2 - 1 Saint Etienne Home

Aug 2021 Lens 2 - 2 Saint Etienne Draw

Mar 2021 Lens(A) 3 - 2 Saint Etienne Home

In the last 5 meetings, Lens won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lens — unbeaten run (home)1

Lens — scoring streak (home)1

Saint Etienne — winless run (away)0

Saint Etienne — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lens Win (1)59%

Draw (X)22%

Saint Etienne Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 65%

29% +1.5 24%

18% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 35%

71% -1.5 76%

82% -2.5 100%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Lens vs Saint Etienne — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lens — scored (home)1.12

Lens — conceded (home)1.29

Saint Etienne — scored (away)0.88

Saint Etienne — conceded (away)2.59

Model expected combined goals3.01

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Lens — BTTS matches (home)24%

Saint Etienne — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)38.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lens (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against2.6

Saint Etienne (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lens

13 9 10 3 9

Saint Etienne

14 13 11 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.582%

Under 1.518%

Over 2.559%

Under 2.541%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Lens (home)

For2.5

Saint Etienne (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Lens — total shots (home)16.3

Saint Etienne — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Lens — on target (home)5.2

Saint Etienne — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lens

Inside the box9.68

Outside the box4.71

Saint Etienne

Inside the box6.32

Outside the box4.56

Player Shots Lens

F. Sotoca

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Koyalipou

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target20%

M'Bala Nzola

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target29%

R. Aguilar

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Chávez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Saint Etienne

M. Cafaro

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target20%

I. Cardona

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Z. Davitashvili

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target27%

L. Stassin

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target18%

P. Ekwah

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lens xG (home)1.57

Saint Etienne xG (away)1.1

Average Possession

54.06% Possession 47.35%

Team Comparison Lens vs Saint Etienne

83.12% Pass accuracy 81.56%

488.06 Passes per match 443.91

0.39 Goals prevented -0.12

14.68 Fouls committed 13.21

3.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.97

2.8 Offsides 1.59

17.94 Tackles per match 17.65

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lens vs Saint Etienne prediction analysis

Review Lens vs Saint Etienne with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights