What markets are included in the Lens vs Toulouse prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lens vs Toulouse prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lens vs Toulouse

Lens vs Toulouse prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-01-05 14:00

Lens

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Toulouse

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

28%

29%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lens (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate24%

Toulouse (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lens

WDWLW

Toulouse

WDWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 65%

29% +1.5 41%

18% +2.5 24%

6% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 0%

24% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lens averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Toulouse averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

28%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Lens 4 - 1 Toulouse Home

Apr 2026 Lens 3 - 2 Toulouse Home

Jan 2026 Lens(A) 3 - 0 Toulouse Home

May 2025 Lens(A) 1 - 1 Toulouse Draw

Jan 2025 Lens 0 - 1 Toulouse Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lens won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lens — unbeaten run (home)1

Lens — scoring streak (home)1

Toulouse — winless run (away)0

Toulouse — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lens Win (1)43%

Draw (X)28%

Toulouse Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 65%

29% +1.5 41%

18% +2.5 24%

6% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 35%

71% -1.5 59%

82% -2.5 76%

94% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 100%

Lens vs Toulouse — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lens — scored (home)1.12

Lens — conceded (home)1.29

Toulouse — scored (away)1.41

Toulouse — conceded (away)1.24

Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Lens — BTTS matches (home)24%

Toulouse — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)32.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.532%

Under 9.568%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lens (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against2.6

Toulouse (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lens

13 9 10 3 9

Toulouse

9 8 11 3 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.565%

Under 2.535%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Lens (home)

For2.5

Toulouse (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Lens — total shots (home)16.3

Toulouse — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Lens — on target (home)5.2

Toulouse — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lens

Inside the box9.68

Outside the box4.71

Toulouse

Inside the box8.88

Outside the box2.97

Player Shots Lens

F. Sotoca

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Koyalipou

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target20%

M'Bala Nzola

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target29%

R. Aguilar

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Chávez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Toulouse

W. Kamanzi

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target4%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Suazo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Z. Aboukhlal

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target23%

N. Edjouma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Y. Gboho

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lens xG (home)1.57

Toulouse xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

54.06% Possession 44.74%

Team Comparison Lens vs Toulouse

83.12% Pass accuracy 80.18%

488.06 Passes per match 396.94

0.39 Goals prevented -0.09

14.68 Fouls committed 12.97

3.03 Goalkeeper saves 2

2.8 Offsides 1.77

17.94 Tackles per match 17.82

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lens vs Toulouse prediction analysis

Review Lens vs Toulouse with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights