Prediction Analysis: Leones Negros UDG vs Correcaminos Uat
Leones Negros UDG vs Correcaminos Uat prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Leones Negros UDG
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1

Correcaminos Uat
Away
Prediction Summary
1
56%
X
23%
2
21%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Leones Negros UDG (Home)
Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate53%
Correcaminos Uat (Away)
Goals scored / match1.07
Goals conceded / match2.27
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
Leones Negros UDG
LLWDL
Correcaminos Uat
DLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
80%
+0.5
80%
40%
+1.5
20%
13%
+2.5
7%
13%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.
Leones Negros UDG averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Correcaminos Uat averages 1.07 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
56%
Draw
23%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
Leones Negros UDG
0 - 0
Correcaminos Uat
Draw
Aug 2025
Leones Negros UDG(A)
2 - 1
Correcaminos Uat
Home
Feb 2025
Leones Negros UDG(A)
3 - 1
Correcaminos Uat
Home
Aug 2024
Leones Negros UDG
3 - 1
Correcaminos Uat
Home
Feb 2024
Leones Negros UDG
1 - 1
Correcaminos Uat
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Leones Negros UDG won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Leones Negros UDG — unbeaten run (home)0
Leones Negros UDG — scoring streak (home)4
Correcaminos Uat — winless run (away)4
Correcaminos Uat — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Leones Negros UDG Win (1)56%
Draw (X)23%
Correcaminos Uat Win (2)21%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
80%
+0.5
80%
40%
+1.5
20%
13%
+2.5
7%
13%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
20%
-0.5
20%
60%
-1.5
80%
87%
-2.5
93%
87%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Leones Negros UDG vs Correcaminos Uat — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Leones Negros UDG — scored (home)1.47
Leones Negros UDG — conceded (home)1.07
Correcaminos Uat — scored (away)1.07
Correcaminos Uat — conceded (away)2.27
Model expected combined goals2.93
Both Teams To Score
Yes55%
No45%
Rate per Team
Leones Negros UDG — BTTS matches (home)53%
Correcaminos Uat — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)60%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Leones Negros UDG (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Correcaminos Uat (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Leones Negros UDG (home)
For—
Correcaminos Uat (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Leones Negros UDG — total shots (home)—
Correcaminos Uat — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Leones Negros UDG — on target (home)—
Correcaminos Uat — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Leones Negros UDG
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Correcaminos Uat
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Leones Negros UDG vs Correcaminos Uat
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Leones Negros UDG vs Correcaminos Uat prediction analysis
Review Leones Negros UDG vs Correcaminos Uat with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga de Expansión MX.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Liga de Expansión MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights