Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Leones Negros UDG vs Correcaminos Uat

Leones Negros UDG vs Correcaminos Uat prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Liga de Expansión MX 2026-08-07 01:00
Leones Negros UDG
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Correcaminos Uat
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
23%
2
21%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Leones Negros UDG (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.07
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate53%

Correcaminos Uat (Away)

Goals scored / match1.07
Goals conceded / match2.27
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Leones Negros UDG
LLWDL
Correcaminos Uat
DLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 80%
40% +1.5 20%
13% +2.5 7%
13% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Leones Negros UDG averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Correcaminos Uat averages 1.07 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
23%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Leones Negros UDG 0 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Draw
Aug 2025 Leones Negros UDG(A) 2 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Home
Feb 2025 Leones Negros UDG(A) 3 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Home
Aug 2024 Leones Negros UDG 3 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Home
Feb 2024 Leones Negros UDG 1 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Leones Negros UDG won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Leones Negros UDG — unbeaten run (home)0
Leones Negros UDG — scoring streak (home)4
Correcaminos Uat — winless run (away)4
Correcaminos Uat — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Leones Negros UDG Win (1)56%
Draw (X)23%
Correcaminos Uat Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 80%
40% +1.5 20%
13% +2.5 7%
13% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 20%
60% -1.5 80%
87% -2.5 93%
87% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Leones Negros UDG vs Correcaminos Uat — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Leones Negros UDG — scored (home)1.47
Leones Negros UDG — conceded (home)1.07
Correcaminos Uat — scored (away)1.07
Correcaminos Uat — conceded (away)2.27
Model expected combined goals2.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Leones Negros UDG — BTTS matches (home)53%
Correcaminos Uat — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)60%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

Leones Negros UDG (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Correcaminos Uat (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Leones Negros UDG (home)

For—

Correcaminos Uat (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Leones Negros UDG — total shots (home)—
Correcaminos Uat — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Leones Negros UDG — on target (home)—
Correcaminos Uat — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Leones Negros UDG

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Correcaminos Uat

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Leones Negros UDG vs Correcaminos Uat

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Leones Negros UDG vs Correcaminos Uat prediction analysis

Review Leones Negros UDG vs Correcaminos Uat with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga de Expansión MX.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Liga de Expansión MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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