Prediction Analysis: Lexington vs Monterey Bay
Lexington vs Monterey Bay prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
USL Championship
2026-08-01
23:00
Lexington
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Monterey Bay
Away
Prediction Summary
1
51%
X
26%
2
23%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Lexington (Home)
Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate65%
Monterey Bay (Away)
Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate33%
Team Form last 5 matches
Lexington
DWLWL
Monterey Bay
LLDWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
33%
53%
+1.5
33%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
65%
BTTS
33%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.
Lexington averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Monterey Bay averages 0.67 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
51%
Draw
26%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
Head-to-Head last 2
Jun 2025
Lexington(A)
1 - 2
Monterey Bay
Away
Apr 2025
Lexington
0 - 0
Monterey Bay
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Lexington won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Lexington — unbeaten run (home)1
Lexington — scoring streak (home)11
Monterey Bay — winless run (away)3
Monterey Bay — clean sheets (away, last 3)1 of 3
1X2 Probability model
Lexington Win (1)51%
Draw (X)26%
Monterey Bay Win (2)23%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
33%
53%
+1.5
33%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
67%
47%
-1.5
67%
100%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Lexington vs Monterey Bay — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Lexington — scored (home)1.35
Lexington — conceded (home)1.18
Monterey Bay — scored (away)0.67
Monterey Bay — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals2.43
Both Teams To Score
Yes47%
No53%
Rate per Team
Lexington — BTTS matches (home)65%
Monterey Bay — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)49%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Lexington (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Monterey Bay (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Lexington (home)
For—
Monterey Bay (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Lexington — total shots (home)—
Monterey Bay — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Lexington — on target (home)—
Monterey Bay — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Lexington
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Monterey Bay
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Lexington vs Monterey Bay
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Lexington vs Monterey Bay prediction analysis
Review Lexington vs Monterey Bay with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from USL Championship.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
USL Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights