Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lille vs Angers

Lille vs Angers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-02 16:15
Lille
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Angers
Away

Prediction Summary

1
68%
X
20%
2
12%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Lille (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

Angers (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lille
LWDWD
Angers
DDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 59%
24% +1.5 6%
18% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lille averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Angers averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
68%
Draw
20%
Away Win
12%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Lille(A) 1 - 0 Angers Home
Nov 2025 Lille 1 - 0 Angers Home
Apr 2025 Lille(A) 2 - 0 Angers Home
Aug 2024 Lille 2 - 0 Angers Home
Apr 2023 Lille(A) 0 - 1 Angers Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lille won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lille — unbeaten run (home)0
Lille — scoring streak (home)0
Angers — winless run (away)4
Angers — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lille Win (1)68%
Draw (X)20%
Angers Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 59%
24% +1.5 6%
18% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 41%
76% -1.5 94%
82% -2.5 100%
88% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Lille vs Angers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lille — scored (home)1.41
Lille — conceded (home)1
Angers — scored (away)0.65
Angers — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Lille — BTTS matches (home)47%
Angers — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lille (home)

Corners for6.4
Corners against3.6

Angers (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lille
8 10 19 7 6
Angers
7 9 10 2 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.553%
Under 2.547%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3

Yellow Cards per Team

Lille (home)

For2.0

Angers (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Lille — total shots (home)14.8
Angers — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Lille — on target (home)4.8
Angers — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lille

Inside the box9.56
Outside the box4.06

Angers

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44

Player Shots Lille

M. Fernandez-Pardo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target31%
H. Igamane
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target15%
O. Giroud
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
H. Haraldsson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Diaoune
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Angers

G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lille xG (home)1.63
Angers xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

55.85% Possession 41.82%

Team Comparison Lille vs Angers

85.09% Pass accuracy 81.97%
496.88 Passes per match 398.09
0.2 Goals prevented -0.01
10.88 Fouls committed 11.09
2.24 Goalkeeper saves 4.03
1.47 Offsides 1.79
15.15 Tackles per match 18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lille vs Angers prediction analysis

Review Lille vs Angers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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